Air Force
3-1
Pacific
2-1
Win Probability
Moneyline
AF
10.5% win prob
Moneyline
PAC
89.5% win prob
EV is the simulation's chance times the book's price, minus 1. It is what the simulation expects, not a guaranteed return; the props archive shows what value picks actually earned.
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NCAAB
AccuScore's simulation makes Pacific 90% to beat Air Force (11%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Pacific the more likely winner at 90%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Pacific a 90% chance of beating Air Force, against 11% for Air Force. Pacific are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Air Force (2-1 so far) project to finish 9.0–22.0 and make the NCAA Tournament in <1% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Pacific (1-1 so far) project to finish 16.2–13.8 and make the NCAA Tournament in 9% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How Air Force and Pacific come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
The teams have met 3 times since 2017: Air Force 0, Pacific 3. The last meeting, on Dec 2, 2025, finished Pacific 80, Air Force 65.