Montana
2-2
Kansas State
2-1
Win Probability
Kansas State hosts Montana in a matchup where the simulation decisively favors the Wildcats. The projected pace points to a battle in the low 80s, with Kansas State's depth and execution expected to wear down a visiting Grizzlies team that has struggled to find consistency. On games where the model has leaned this heavily toward the home side, that team won 91 percent of the time across 815 graded contests. Montana would need to slow the game and force the kind of perimeter defense that keeps Kansas State's shooters in check, a tall task for a squad sitting at 2-2.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
EV is the simulation's chance times the book's price, minus 1. It is what the simulation expects, not a guaranteed return; the props archive shows what value picks actually earned.
| Book | KSU | EV | MONT | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket ↗ | -3582 | -5.0% | +245 | -28.4% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet ↗ | 155.5 | -115 | -3.9% | -105 | -0.5% |
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NCAAB
AccuScore's simulation makes Kansas State 88% to beat Montana (13%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Kansas State the more likely winner at 88%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Kansas State a 88% chance of beating Montana, against 13% for Montana. Kansas State are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Montana (1-2 so far) project to finish 15.3–13.7 and make the NCAA Tournament in 15% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Kansas State (2-1 so far) project to finish 13.0–17.0 and make the NCAA Tournament in 14% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Montana | 15.3–13.7 | 18% | 15% |
| Kansas State | 13.0–17.0 | <1% | 14% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How Montana and Kansas State come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Montana have won 1 of their last 2 (W-L, most recent first).
Kansas State have won 1 of their last 2 (W-L, most recent first).