How often the favourite won, how often the home side won, and how often the total went over — across 4,562 played La Liga games in AccuScore's archive. None of this is our model. The favourite is whichever side the bookmakers priced shorter, and the result is the result.
Seasons run August to May.
| Season | Games | Favourite won | Home won | Drawn | Over |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 | 51 | 51.0% | 45.1% | 29.4% | 45.1% |
| 2025-26 | 380 | 53.3% | 48.9% | 24.5% | 41.8% |
| 2024-25 | 380 | 55.7% | 44.5% | 25.5% | 40.5% |
| 2023-24 | 380 | 55.7% | 43.9% | 28.2% | 39.2% |
| 2022-23 | 370 | 55.7% | 48.1% | 22.4% | 41.9% |
| 2021-22 | 379 | 52.5% | 43.5% | 29.0% | 41.7% |
| 2020-21 | 417 | 54.5% | 41.2% | 28.1% | 42.3% |
| 2019-20 | 312 | 51.5% | 46.5% | 29.2% | 45.2% |
Across 4,491 priced La Liga games in AccuScore's archive, the favourite won 54.7% of the time. The favourite is whichever side the bookmakers made shorter, not whichever side we projected.
Home teams won 45.7% of 4,562 games in the archive, with 25.8% drawn.
Of 4,509 games with a posted total, 42.9% went over. A rate near half is what an efficient market looks like — the number is interesting when a season moves away from it.
| 2018-19 | 380 | 48.7% | 44.2% | 28.9% | 41.0% |
| 2017-18 | 380 | 55.8% | 47.1% | 22.6% | 42.4% |
| 2016-17 | 373 | 59.4% | 48.3% | 22.8% | 48.9% |
| 2015-16 | 380 | 56.1% | 48.2% | 24.2% | 45.9% |
| 2014-15 | 380 | 56.7% | 45.0% | 23.9% | 44.7% |