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AccuScore has priced 1 La Liga game for Friday, October 16, the first at 3:00 PM ET. The most one-sided fixture on the board is Dep. A Coruna at 51% against Levante.

La Liga betting trends →La Liga line movement →

La Liga predictions and probabilities

Every La Liga fixture is run through the simulation 10,000 times, which gives the home, draw and away probabilities, a projected scoreline, and the chance of the match clearing each goals line. Player-level output includes the chance of scoring at any time in the match.

Spanish football is a lower-scoring league than the market sometimes prices it as, so the goals lines are where our number and the bookmaker's most often part company. Each match card shows both, with the live price beside our probability, and the published picks are graded afterwards.

La Liga predictions: common questions

Which La Liga matches are covered?
The full Primera División fixture list, with each match appearing once odds are posted.
Are these tips or probabilities?
Probabilities first. A tip only follows when the price on offer is worse than the probability we calculated.
Where can I check whether it works?
The accuracy page carries every graded pick, filterable by league, with the record and profit shown as they are.

Probabilities and projections come from AccuScore simulations; prices come from the bookmakers named beside them and move. Nothing here is betting advice. See the graded record.

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La Liga • FRI, OCT 16 • 19:00In 6h
LEV
Levante
@
DEP
Dep. ACoruna
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La Liga • SAT, OCT 17 • 12:00In 23h
ATL
AtléticoMadrid
@
ESP
Espanyol
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La Liga • SAT, OCT 17 • 14:15In 1d
ELC
Elche
@
VIL
Villarreal
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La Liga • SAT, OCT 17 • 16:30In 1d
Silver✓ EV+○ Prob 62%○ Sharp $
BAR
Barcelona
64%
Draw18%
BET
RealBetis
19%
1X2
BET +550
EV +10.1%
Total
Over 4.5 (+152)
EV +17.1%
fading
Record on picks like this · Total · no qualifying pattern
our number 0-1 from the bookmaker's · backing the over · 1w
62%+16.6%n=41

Barcelona travels to Real Betis as a decisive favourite in this La Liga fixture.

La Liga • SAT, OCT 17 • 19:00In 1d
ATH
AthleticBilbao
@
VAL
Valencia
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La Liga • SUN, OCT 18 • 12:00In 1d
Silver✓ EV+○ Prob 43%○ Sharp $
RAC
RacingSantander
33%
Draw26%
OSA
Osasuna
41%
1X2
RAC ML (+288)
EV +13.6%
fading
Total
O 3 (+107)
EV +6.2%
Record on picks like this · 1X2 · no qualifying pattern
La Liga · 7.5%+ edge · 1m
43%+8.1%n=14

Racing Santander travels to face Osasuna in a fixture where the model slightly favours the home side.

La Liga • SUN, OCT 18 • 14:15In 2d
Silver✓ EV+○ Prob 62%○ Sharp $
ALA
DeportivoAlavés
37%
Draw28%
CEL
CeltaVigo
35%
1X2
ALA +274
EV +19.4%
fading
Total
Over 2.5 (+130)
EV +11.0%
Record on picks like this · Total · no qualifying pattern
our number 0-1 from the bookmaker's · backing the over · 1w
62%+16.6%n=41

Deportivo Alavés travels to face Celta de Vigo in a tight contest that the model slightly favours the visitors.

La Liga • SUN, OCT 18 • 16:30In 2d
RSO
RealSociedad
@
MLG
Malaga
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La Liga • SUN, OCT 18 • 19:00In 2d
Silver✓ EV+○ Prob 74%○ Sharp $
SEV
Sevilla
1%
Draw6%
RMA
RealMadrid
94%
1X2
RMA ML (-400)
EV +8.4%
fading
Total
U 3.5 (-125)
EV +0.5%
Record on picks like this · 1X2 · no qualifying pattern
90-100% chance to win · 7.5%+ edge
74%+3.8%n=206

Real Madrid hosts Sevilla in a fixture where the simulation decisively favors the home side.

La Liga • MON, OCT 19 • 19:00In 3d
RAY
RayoVallecano
@
GET
Getafe
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La Liga • WED, OCT 21 • 18:00In 5d
Silver✓ EV+○ Prob 64%○ Sharp $
ATH
AthleticBilbao
38%
Draw33%
LEV
Levante
29%
1X2
LEV +277
EV +5.4%
Total
Under 2.5 (-109)
EV +10.7%
Record on picks like this · Total · no qualifying pattern
La Liga · 60-70% chance to win · 7.5%+ edge · 1m
64%+19.7%n=12

Athletic Bilbao travels to Levante as the clear favourite in this La Liga fixture.

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