College Basketball · Southwestern Athletic
AccuScore projects Alabama State to finish 11.7–17.3 with a 8% chance of making the NCAA Tournament and a 0.0% chance of winning the national championship.
From the daily season simulation: every remaining game played out thousands of times, then the 76-team tournament. All 365 schools →
| Make the field | 8.4% | |
| Play in the First Round | 5.2% | |
| Reach the Second Round | 0.9% | |
| Reach the Sweet 16 | 0.3% | |
| Reach the Elite Eight | 0.1% | |
| Reach the Final Four | 0.0% | |
| Reach the Championship | 0.0% | |
| Win the national title | — |
Likeliest seed lines: 16 (4%), 15 (2%).
| School | Proj | Conf title | Tourney |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bethune-Cookman | 13.8–17.2 | 16% | 15% |
| Florida A&M | 13.6–16.4 | 12% | 11% |
| Alabama A&M | 12.8–15.2 | 9% | 10% |
| Grambling | 12.7–16.3 | 10% | 10% |
| Texas Southern | 12.6–16.4 | 8% | 10% |
| Prairie View A&M | 12.6–15.4 |
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| 13% |
| Southern | 12.6–16.4 | 14% | 14% |
| Arkansas-Pine Bluff | 12.0–17.0 | 10% | 11% |
| Alabama State | 11.7–17.3 | 9% | 8% |
| Jackson State | 10.7–22.3 | 5% | 5% |
| Alcorn State | 10.7–21.3 | 5% | 5% |
| Mississippi Valley State | 7.0–26.0 | 1% | 1% |