College Basketball · SEC
AccuScore projects Arkansas to finish 20.4–11.6 with a 60% chance of making the NCAA Tournament and a 1.4% chance of winning the national championship.
From the daily season simulation: every remaining game played out thousands of times, then the 76-team tournament. All 365 schools →
| Make the field | 60.5% | |
| Play in the First Round | 56.5% | |
| Reach the Second Round | 35.8% | |
| Reach the Sweet 16 | 19.9% | |
| Reach the Elite Eight | 10.9% | |
| Reach the Final Four | 5.4% | |
| Reach the Championship | 2.7% | |
| Win the national title | 1.4% |
Likeliest seed lines: 1 (8%), 2 (7%), 3 (6%), 4 (5%).
| School | Proj | Conf title | Tourney |
|---|---|---|---|
| Florida | 22.5–7.5 | 29% | 81% |
| Vanderbilt | 21.6–10.4 | 12% | 61% |
| Arkansas | 20.4–11.6 | 11% | 60% |
| Oklahoma | 19.5–12.5 | 6% | 44% |
| Tennessee | 19.4–10.6 | 13% | 61% |
| Kentucky | 19.3–12.7 | 7% |
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| 48% |
| Alabama | 18.9–11.1 | 15% | 65% |
| Texas A&M | 18.7–13.3 | 5% | 38% |
| Texas | 18.6–12.4 | 7% | 43% |
| Georgia | 18.0–14.0 | 4% | 38% |
| Auburn | 17.2–12.8 | 6% | 42% |
| Missouri | 16.6–15.4 | 3% | 30% |
| Ole Miss | 16.0–14.0 | 3% | 29% |
| LSU | 15.2–16.8 | 2% | 24% |
| South Carolina | 14.6–17.4 | 1% | 16% |
| Mississippi State | 13.6–17.4 | 1% | 14% |