College Basketball · Atlantic 10
AccuScore projects Dayton to finish 19.3–12.7 with a 33% chance of making the NCAA Tournament and a 0.3% chance of winning the national championship.
From the daily season simulation: every remaining game played out thousands of times, then the 76-team tournament. All 365 schools →
| Make the field | 33.0% | |
| Play in the First Round | 28.9% | |
| Reach the Second Round | 15.2% | |
| Reach the Sweet 16 | 7.1% | |
| Reach the Elite Eight | 3.4% | |
| Reach the Final Four | 1.6% | |
| Reach the Championship | 0.7% | |
| Win the national title | 0.3% |
Likeliest seed lines: 13 (3%), 14 (3%), 12 (2%), 5 (2%).
| School | Proj | Conf title | Tourney |
|---|---|---|---|
| Saint Louis | 20.0–10.0 | 23% | 45% |
| Dayton | 19.3–12.7 | 14% | 33% |
| VCU | 19.3–9.7 | 19% | 43% |
| George Washington | 17.6–13.4 | 11% | 23% |
| Davidson | 17.4–14.6 | 9% | 19% |
| George Mason | 17.3–13.7 | 8% |
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| 20% |
| St. Bonaventure | 16.5–14.5 | 7% | 19% |
| Saint Joseph's | 16.5–12.5 | 9% | 22% |
| Duquesne | 16.1–13.9 | 6% | 14% |
| Fordham | 15.6–14.4 | 7% | 14% |
| Rhode Island | 15.3–14.7 | 5% | 13% |
| Richmond | 14.7–16.3 | 4% | 12% |
| La Salle | 11.2–17.8 | 2% | 6% |
| Loyola Chicago | 11.1–17.9 | 2% | 5% |