College Basketball · Horizon League
AccuScore projects Detroit Mercy to finish 13.2–13.8 with a 16% chance of making the NCAA Tournament and a 0.0% chance of winning the national championship.
From the daily season simulation: every remaining game played out thousands of times, then the 76-team tournament. All 365 schools →
| Make the field | 15.9% | |
| Play in the First Round | 12.4% | |
| Reach the Second Round | 4.8% | |
| Reach the Sweet 16 | 2.0% | |
| Reach the Elite Eight | 0.8% | |
| Reach the Final Four | 0.3% | |
| Reach the Championship | 0.1% | |
| Win the national title | 0.0% |
Likeliest seed lines: 15 (3%), 16 (2%), 14 (2%), 13 (2%).
| School | Proj | Conf title | Tourney |
|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Morris | 17.7–13.3 | 19% | 26% |
| Wright State | 17.6–12.4 | 20% | 26% |
| Northern Kentucky | 16.6–13.4 | 14% | 19% |
| Green Bay | 14.9–15.1 | 11% | 16% |
| Oakland | 14.1–17.9 | 13% | 18% |
| Youngstown State | 14.0–15.0 |
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| 13% |
| Detroit Mercy | 13.2–13.8 | 11% | 16% |
| Purdue Fort Wayne | 13.2–15.8 | 7% | 10% |
| Milwaukee | 12.9–18.1 | 7% | 10% |
| IU Indianapolis | 12.3–17.7 | 4% | 6% |
| Cleveland State | 10.2–17.8 | 3% | 4% |
| Northern Illinois | 9.2–21.8 | 2% | 2% |