College Basketball · Metro Atlantic Athletic
AccuScore projects Merrimack to finish 18.2–12.8 with a 26% chance of making the NCAA Tournament and a 0.2% chance of winning the national championship.
From the daily season simulation: every remaining game played out thousands of times, then the 76-team tournament. All 365 schools →
| Make the field | 26.1% | |
| Play in the First Round | 21.5% | |
| Reach the Second Round | 9.0% | |
| Reach the Sweet 16 | 4.1% | |
| Reach the Elite Eight | 1.8% | |
| Reach the Final Four | 0.8% | |
| Reach the Championship | 0.4% | |
| Win the national title | 0.2% |
Likeliest seed lines: 15 (3%), 16 (3%), 14 (3%), 13 (2%).
| School | Proj | Conf title | Tourney |
|---|---|---|---|
| Merrimack | 18.2–12.8 | 21% | 26% |
| Siena | 18.0–14.0 | 17% | 23% |
| Marist | 15.8–13.2 | 14% | 17% |
| Fairfield | 15.6–14.4 | 10% | 13% |
| Quinnipiac | 15.5–14.5 | 12% | 15% |
| Iona | 15.5–16.5 | 8% |
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| Saint Peter's | 15.3–13.7 | 11% | 13% |
| Mount St. Mary's | 15.2–14.8 | 9% | 11% |
| Sacred Heart | 14.7–16.3 | 7% | 9% |
| Manhattan | 12.5–18.5 | 4% | 5% |
| Niagara | 11.9–18.1 | 3% | 4% |
| Canisius | 11.9–19.1 | 3% | 4% |
| Rider | 9.5–20.5 | 2% | 2% |