College Basketball · Mountain West
AccuScore projects Nevada to finish 18.5–12.5 with a 31% chance of making the NCAA Tournament and a 0.2% chance of winning the national championship.
From the daily season simulation: every remaining game played out thousands of times, then the 76-team tournament. All 365 schools →
| Make the field | 30.8% | |
| Play in the First Round | 26.5% | |
| Reach the Second Round | 12.6% | |
| Reach the Sweet 16 | 5.8% | |
| Reach the Elite Eight | 2.5% | |
| Reach the Final Four | 1.1% | |
| Reach the Championship | 0.4% | |
| Win the national title | 0.2% |
Likeliest seed lines: 15 (3%), 14 (3%), 13 (3%), 12 (2%).
| School | Proj | Conf title | Tourney |
|---|---|---|---|
| New Mexico | 20.5–10.5 | 30% | 44% |
| Nevada | 18.5–12.5 | 19% | 31% |
| Grand Canyon | 18.2–11.8 | 19% | 31% |
| Wyoming | 16.7–14.3 | 13% | 20% |
| UNLV | 16.3–13.7 | 13% | 22% |
| Hawai'i | 15.6–12.4 | 12% |
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| UC Davis | 15.0–15.0 | 7% | 12% |
| San José State | 13.0–17.0 | 4% | 7% |
| UTEP | 11.8–15.2 | 5% | 8% |
| Air Force | 8.0–23.0 | 0% | 1% |