College Basketball · Atlantic Coast
AccuScore projects North Carolina to finish 18.6–13.4 with a 43% chance of making the NCAA Tournament and a 0.6% chance of winning the national championship.
From the daily season simulation: every remaining game played out thousands of times, then the 76-team tournament. All 365 schools →
| Make the field | 42.5% | |
| Play in the First Round | 38.5% | |
| Reach the Second Round | 22.4% | |
| Reach the Sweet 16 | 11.4% | |
| Reach the Elite Eight | 5.7% | |
| Reach the Final Four | 2.7% | |
| Reach the Championship | 1.2% | |
| Win the national title | 0.6% |
Likeliest seed lines: 3 (4%), 2 (4%), 13 (4%), 1 (3%).
| School | Proj | Conf title | Tourney |
|---|---|---|---|
| Duke | 24.3–7.7 | 37% | 84% |
| Virginia | 20.2–10.8 | 12% | 56% |
| SMU | 18.7–13.3 | 6% | 34% |
| North Carolina | 18.6–13.4 | 8% | 43% |
| Miami | 18.5–11.5 | 8% | 42% |
| Clemson | 18.1–11.9 | 9% |
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| Louisville | 18.1–10.9 | 12% | 55% |
| NC State | 18.0–13.0 | 6% | 34% |
| Virginia Tech | 17.8–14.2 | 5% | 27% |
| Florida State | 17.7–14.3 | 5% | 33% |
| Stanford | 16.8–14.2 | 4% | 26% |
| Wake Forest | 16.7–14.3 | 4% | 24% |
| California | 16.2–14.8 | 3% | 22% |
| Pittsburgh | 15.7–16.3 | 3% | 17% |
| Syracuse | 15.7–16.3 | 2% | 17% |
| Boston College | 14.2–17.8 | 1% | 10% |
| Notre Dame | 13.8–15.2 | 2% | 14% |
| Georgia Tech | 13.4–18.6 | 1% | 9% |