College Basketball · Big Ten
AccuScore projects Penn State to finish 12.5–18.5 with a 9% chance of making the NCAA Tournament and a 0.1% chance of winning the national championship.
From the daily season simulation: every remaining game played out thousands of times, then the 76-team tournament. All 365 schools →
| Make the field | 8.6% | |
| Play in the First Round | 7.0% | |
| Reach the Second Round | 3.2% | |
| Reach the Sweet 16 | 1.4% | |
| Reach the Elite Eight | 0.5% | |
| Reach the Final Four | 0.2% | |
| Reach the Championship | 0.1% | |
| Win the national title | 0.1% |
Likeliest seed lines: 13 (1%), 12 (1%).
| School | Proj | Conf title | Tourney |
|---|---|---|---|
| Michigan | 23.3–6.7 | 32% | 88% |
| Illinois | 22.1–9.9 | 13% | 77% |
| Purdue | 21.3–10.7 | 14% | 69% |
| Nebraska | 20.8–11.2 | 8% | 57% |
| Michigan State | 20.4–11.6 | 8% | 65% |
| Wisconsin | 19.7–11.3 |
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| 57% |
| Iowa | 19.2–12.8 | 6% | 49% |
| Ohio State | 19.0–13.0 | 6% | 51% |
| UCLA | 18.4–12.6 | 6% | 45% |
| Indiana | 17.8–14.2 | 4% | 34% |
| Northwestern | 16.6–15.4 | 2% | 29% |
| Minnesota | 15.6–16.4 | 1% | 22% |
| Washington | 15.2–13.8 | 3% | 29% |
| USC | 14.1–17.9 | 1% | 15% |
| Oregon | 13.7–16.3 | 1% | 16% |
| Maryland | 13.5–16.5 | 1% | 17% |
| Rutgers | 13.5–16.5 | 1% | 15% |
| Penn State | 12.5–18.5 | 0% | 9% |