College Basketball · West Coast
AccuScore projects Saint Mary's to finish 20.5–9.5 with a 54% chance of making the NCAA Tournament and a 0.8% chance of winning the national championship.
From the daily season simulation: every remaining game played out thousands of times, then the 76-team tournament. All 365 schools →
| Make the field | 53.6% | |
| Play in the First Round | 48.7% | |
| Reach the Second Round | 26.9% | |
| Reach the Sweet 16 | 14.2% | |
| Reach the Elite Eight | 6.9% | |
| Reach the Final Four | 3.3% | |
| Reach the Championship | 1.5% | |
| Win the national title | 0.8% |
Likeliest seed lines: 3 (4%), 2 (4%), 4 (4%), 5 (4%).
| School | Proj | Conf title | Tourney |
|---|---|---|---|
| Santa Clara | 20.6–10.4 | 30% | 48% |
| Saint Mary's | 20.5–9.5 | 34% | 54% |
| Seattle U | 16.2–12.8 | 13% | 23% |
| San Francisco | 16.0–15.0 | 8% | 16% |
| Pacific | 15.7–14.3 | 11% | 20% |
| Loyola Marymount | 14.7–16.3 | 6% |
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| 12% |
| Denver | 12.8–17.2 | 5% | 8% |
| San Diego | 12.8–16.2 | 4% | 7% |
| Portland | 11.5–17.5 | 4% | 6% |
| Pepperdine | 11.5–18.5 | 2% | 5% |