College Basketball · Big 12
AccuScore projects UCF to finish 16.1–15.9 with a 26% chance of making the NCAA Tournament and a 0.3% chance of winning the national championship.
From the daily season simulation: every remaining game played out thousands of times, then the 76-team tournament. All 365 schools →
| Make the field | 25.6% | |
| Play in the First Round | 22.5% | |
| Reach the Second Round | 12.3% | |
| Reach the Sweet 16 | 5.8% | |
| Reach the Elite Eight | 2.8% | |
| Reach the Final Four | 1.3% | |
| Reach the Championship | 0.7% | |
| Win the national title | 0.3% |
Likeliest seed lines: 13 (3%), 12 (2%), 14 (2%), 6 (2%).
| School | Proj | Conf title | Tourney |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona | 22.6–7.4 | 30% | 85% |
| Iowa State | 22.2–7.8 | 21% | 75% |
| Houston | 21.9–8.1 | 23% | 78% |
| Cincinnati | 19.0–13.0 | 6% | 40% |
| BYU | 18.4–11.6 | 7% | 49% |
| Texas Tech | 18.0–11.0 | 9% |
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| 53% |
| TCU | 17.9–12.1 | 5% | 38% |
| Kansas | 17.6–12.4 | 7% | 50% |
| West Virginia | 16.5–13.5 | 4% | 34% |
| UCF | 16.1–15.9 | 3% | 26% |
| Baylor | 16.0–13.0 | 5% | 36% |
| Arizona State | 15.6–16.4 | 2% | 22% |
| Colorado | 15.1–15.9 | 2% | 21% |
| Oklahoma State | 14.7–17.3 | 2% | 18% |
| Utah | 13.9–18.1 | 1% | 11% |
| Kansas State | 13.3–16.7 | 1% | 14% |