College Basketball · Big East
AccuScore projects UConn to finish 21.8–10.2 with a 71% chance of making the NCAA Tournament and a 2.5% chance of winning the national championship.
From the daily season simulation: every remaining game played out thousands of times, then the 76-team tournament. All 365 schools →
| Make the field | 70.6% | |
| Play in the First Round | 66.8% | |
| Reach the Second Round | 44.7% | |
| Reach the Sweet 16 | 27.0% | |
| Reach the Elite Eight | 15.7% | |
| Reach the Final Four | 8.9% | |
| Reach the Championship | 4.6% | |
| Win the national title | 2.5% |
Likeliest seed lines: 1 (13%), 2 (9%), 3 (7%), 4 (6%).
| School | Proj | Conf title | Tourney |
|---|---|---|---|
| UConn | 21.8–10.2 | 31% | 71% |
| St. John's | 21.6–8.4 | 33% | 71% |
| Seton Hall | 17.2–13.8 | 9% | 33% |
| Villanova | 17.0–13.0 | 11% | 38% |
| Marquette | 16.5–15.5 | 7% | 26% |
| Georgetown | 16.4–14.6 | 6% |
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| 25% |
| Providence | 15.6–14.4 | 6% | 25% |
| Butler | 15.4–16.6 | 4% | 19% |
| DePaul | 15.1–16.9 | 4% | 18% |
| Xavier | 14.9–17.1 | 3% | 17% |
| Creighton | 14.5–15.5 | 5% | 23% |