College Basketball · America East
AccuScore projects UMBC to finish 18.3–10.7 with a 35% chance of making the NCAA Tournament and a 0.1% chance of winning the national championship.
From the daily season simulation: every remaining game played out thousands of times, then the 76-team tournament. All 365 schools →
| Make the field | 35.3% | |
| Play in the First Round | 27.4% | |
| Reach the Second Round | 9.6% | |
| Reach the Sweet 16 | 4.0% | |
| Reach the Elite Eight | 1.7% | |
| Reach the Final Four | 0.8% | |
| Reach the Championship | 0.3% | |
| Win the national title | 0.1% |
Likeliest seed lines: 16 (8%), 15 (7%), 14 (3%), 13 (3%).
| School | Proj | Conf title | Tourney |
|---|---|---|---|
| UMBC | 18.3–10.7 | 37% | 35% |
| Vermont | 15.8–14.2 | 23% | 23% |
| UAlbany | 15.0–16.0 | 13% | 13% |
| UMass Lowell | 13.9–15.1 | 14% | 14% |
| Maine | 12.9–18.1 | 8% | 8% |
| NJIT | 12.0–19.0 | 7% |
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| New Hampshire | 11.8–19.2 | 7% | 7% |
| Binghamton | 11.0–17.0 | 6% | 6% |
| Bryant | 10.8–19.2 | 6% | 6% |