College Basketball · Colonial Athletic
AccuScore projects UNC Wilmington to finish 17.6–12.4 with a 24% chance of making the NCAA Tournament and a 0.1% chance of winning the national championship.
From the daily season simulation: every remaining game played out thousands of times, then the 76-team tournament. All 365 schools →
| Make the field | 24.3% | |
| Play in the First Round | 20.4% | |
| Reach the Second Round | 9.5% | |
| Reach the Sweet 16 | 4.1% | |
| Reach the Elite Eight | 1.7% | |
| Reach the Final Four | 0.8% | |
| Reach the Championship | 0.4% | |
| Win the national title | 0.1% |
Likeliest seed lines: 14 (3%), 13 (2%), 15 (2%), 12 (2%).
| School | Proj | Conf title | Tourney |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hofstra | 18.9–11.1 | 24% | 38% |
| UNC Wilmington | 17.6–12.4 | 15% | 24% |
| Campbell | 16.0–16.0 | 11% | 18% |
| Monmouth | 16.0–16.0 | 12% | 19% |
| Towson | 15.4–13.6 | 12% | 21% |
| Charleston | 14.7–13.3 | 11% |
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| 18% |
| Drexel | 14.7–15.3 | 7% | 12% |
| William & Mary | 14.7–14.3 | 10% | 16% |
| Stony Brook | 13.8–15.2 | 6% | 10% |
| Elon | 12.5–17.5 | 5% | 7% |
| Northeastern | 12.4–19.6 | 4% | 7% |
| Hampton | 12.2–16.8 | 4% | 7% |
| North Carolina A&T | 12.1–15.9 | 4% | 6% |