College Basketball · Northeast
AccuScore projects Wagner to finish 12.0–15.0 with a 21% chance of making the NCAA Tournament and a 0.0% chance of winning the national championship.
From the daily season simulation: every remaining game played out thousands of times, then the 76-team tournament. All 365 schools →
| Make the field | 20.8% | |
| Play in the First Round | 13.0% | |
| Reach the Second Round | 2.8% | |
| Reach the Sweet 16 | 1.1% | |
| Reach the Elite Eight | 0.4% | |
| Reach the Final Four | 0.1% | |
| Reach the Championship | 0.0% | |
| Win the national title | 0.0% |
Likeliest seed lines: 16 (11%), 15 (4%), 14 (1%).
| School | Proj | Conf title | Tourney |
|---|---|---|---|
| Long Island University | 15.5–15.5 | 24% | 30% |
| Mercyhurst | 14.1–14.9 | 17% | — |
| New Haven | 13.2–14.8 | 12% | — |
| Le Moyne | 13.1–15.9 | 12% | — |
| Stonehill | 12.1–15.9 | 11% | 16% |
| Wagner | 12.0–15.0 | 15% |
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| 21% |
| Central Connecticut | 12.0–15.0 | 13% | 19% |
| Fairleigh Dickinson | 11.6–17.4 | 10% | 14% |
| Chicago State | 11.2–20.8 | 7% | 10% |