North Carolina vs Virginia Prediction

1 meeting scheduled · 14 played since 2011

Next game · Sat, Nov 21, 12:30 PM ET

North Carolina

53% to win

Virginia

47% to win

No value pick on this game at current prices.Full breakdown and odds →

Past meetings · UNC 10–4 UVA

DateFinalAccuScoreFavourite

Oct 25, 2025UVA 16 – 17 UNCUVA 83%✗ lost

Oct 26, 2024UNC 41 – 14 UVAUNC 84%✓ won

Nov 5, 2022UNC 31 – 28 UVAUNC 59%✓ won

Sep 18, 2021UVA 39 – 59 UNCUNC 72%✓ won

Oct 31, 2020UNC 41 – 44 UVAUNC 58%✗ lost

Show 9 more

DateFinalAccuScoreFavourite

Nov 2, 2019UVA 38 – 31 UNCUNC 54%✗ lost

Oct 27, 2018UNC 21 – 31 UVAUVA 71%✓ won

Oct 14, 2017UVA 20 – 14 UNCUVA 51%✓ won

Oct 22, 2016UNC 35 – 14 UVAUNC 65%✓ won

Oct 24, 2015UVA 13 – 26 UNCUNC 84%✓ won

Oct 25, 2014UNC 28 – 27 UVAUVA 55%✗ lost

Nov 9, 2013UVA 14 – 45 UNCUNC 71%✓ won

Nov 15, 2012UNC 37 – 13 UVAUNC 64%

AccuScore's most likely outcome came in 10 of the 14 meetings it priced.

Meetings from 2011 on include AccuScore's game archive.

North Carolina visit Virginia on Sat, Nov 21, 12:30 PM ET.

AccuScore's simulation makes North Carolina the more likely winner at 53%.

On Oct 25, 2025 it finished Virginia 16, North Carolina 17.

Since 2011: North Carolina 10 wins, Virginia 4 over 14 meetings on record.

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North Carolina (5-4 so far) project to finish 6.6–5.4 and make the College Football Playoff in <1% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.

Virginia (4-5 so far) project to finish 5.8–6.2 and make the College Football Playoff in <1% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.

Team	Projected record	Division title	Playoffs
North Carolina	6.6–5.4	0%	<1%
Virginia	5.8–6.2	0%	<1%

From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAF team's projection →