Fans flipping through this week's NFL Power Rankings are asking the same question after the Bears' 34-17 win over the Seahawks on Monday night: how far did Chicago actually move? AccuScore's Market Index, which rates teams purely off betting prices, has an answer — the Bears sit at No. 12 of 32 this week, up from No. 14 the previous week, with a rating of +1.74 pts.
On the field, Chicago is 6-2, and Jeffery Simmons made his debut in the win, picking up a sack, six tackles and a deflected pass. The Bears also took their third straight game.
Looking forward, AccuScore's simulation likes Chicago's position. The team projects to a 10.7-6.3 record over a full simulated season, with a 68.3% probability of making the playoffs. For the next game — Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Chicago Bears on 2026-11-08 — the simulation gives the Bears a 66.5% win probability, according to AccuScore's game projection.
So the numbers tell a more modest story than the headlines: Chicago rose two spots, but its rating moved only +0.02 pts from the previous week. The market's price on the Bears barely changed; the teams around them moved. That is what the Market Index tracks week over week, separate from win-loss record.
For context, the Bears' Week 9 opponent, Tampa Bay, is part of the same NFC conversation fans are having about division races. AccuScore's simulation doesn't weigh in on that debate directly, but the 68.3% playoff probability and the current Market Index rank give Bears fans a data point to measure the hype against as Chicago heads into its matchup with the Buccaneers.