Season Forecasts
Simulation-based win totals, playoff odds, and championship probabilities — updated daily via AccuScore.
Simulation-based win totals, playoff odds, and championship probabilities — updated daily via AccuScore.
| Team | W-L | Proj W | Proj L | Div% | Playoff% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1stBUFFALO BILLS | 4-1 | 12.1 | 4.9 | 62% | 88% |
NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS | 3-2 | 10.4 | 6.6 | 34% | 72% |
NEW YORK JETS | 2-3 | 6.2 | 10.8 | 4% | 13% |
MIAMI DOLPHINS | 0-5 | 3.8 | 13.2 | 1% | 2% |
| Team | W-L | Proj W | Proj L | Div% | Playoff% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1stBALTIMORE RAVENS | 4-1 | 11.5 | 5.5 | 53% | 79% |
CINCINNATI BENGALS | 3-2 | 10.1 | 6.9 | 27% | 61% |
PITTSBURGH STEELERS | 3-2 | 8.4 | 8.6 | 11% |
| Team | W-L | Proj W | Proj L | Div% | Playoff% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1stJACKSONVILLE JAGUARS | 4-1 | 11.9 | 5.1 | 74% | 86% |
INDIANAPOLIS COLTS | 2-3 | 7.8 | 9.2 | 12% | 27% |
HOUSTON TEXANS | 1-4 | 7.8 | 9.2 | 13% |
| Team | W-L | Proj W | Proj L | Div% | Playoff% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1stKANSAS CITY CHIEFS | 4-0 | 11.5 | 5.5 | 62% | 83% |
DENVER BRONCOS | 3-2 | 9.9 | 7.1 | 29% | 63% |
LAS VEGAS RAIDERS | 3-2 | 7.6 | 9.4 | 7% |
| Team | W-L | Proj W | Proj L | Div% | Playoff% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1stDALLAS COWBOYS | 2-3 | 8.1 | 8.9 | 31% | 39% |
PHILADELPHIA EAGLES | 2-3 | 8.1 | 8.9 | 32% | 38% |
NEW YORK GIANTS | 3-1 | 7.6 |
Powered by AccuScore • Updated Friday, October 16
The most likely bracket across AccuScore's simulations of the rest of the season: each seed goes to the team that holds it most often, and the favourite advances from every game. The percentage beside a team is its chance to win that game if the matchup happens. Title odds further down add up every possible path, so the favourite to win it all is not always the team at the end of this bracket.
Projected Super Bowl winner: Buffalo Bills
The percentage beside a seed is how often that team finishes in that exact seed.
Each team's chance to reach every round, and to win it all. Top 12 by title chance.
| Team | Playoffs | Divisional | Conf. Championship | Super Bowl | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Francisco 49ers | 91% | 66% | 40% | 23% | 11.9% |
| Buffalo Bills | 88% | 61% | 36% | 20% | 11.1% |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 86% | 58% | 32% | 17% | 8.7% |
| Seattle Seahawks |
Simulation run 10/15/2026 09:00:41.
36% |
CLEVELAND BROWNS | 3-2 | 7.9 | 9.1 | 9% | 28% |
30% |
TENNESSEE TITANS | 0-5 | 3.7 | 13.3 | 1% | 2% |
24% |
LOS ANGELES CHARGERS | 0-5 | 4.8 | 12.2 | 2% | 6% |
| 8.4 |
| 28% |
36% |
WASHINGTON FOOTBALL TEAM | 1-3 | 5.5 | 10.5 | 9% | 13% |
| Team | W-L | Proj W | Proj L | Div% | Playoff% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1stMINNESOTA VIKINGS | 5-0 | 11.5 | 5.5 | 48% | 80% |
DETROIT LIONS | 3-2 | 9.8 | 7.2 | 24% | 57% |
CHICAGO BEARS | 3-2 | 9.5 | 7.5 | 17% | 52% |
GREEN BAY PACKERS | 3-2 | 8.6 | 8.4 | 10% | 38% |
| Team | W-L | Proj W | Proj L | Div% | Playoff% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1stCAROLINA PANTHERS | 2-2 | 8.0 | 9.0 | 39% | 44% |
ATLANTA FALCONS | 2-3 | 7.6 | 9.4 | 30% | 37% |
NEW ORLEANS SAINTS | 1-4 | 6.2 | 10.8 | 15% | 18% |
TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS | 1-4 | 6.0 | 11.0 | 17% | 19% |
| Team | W-L | Proj W | Proj L | Div% | Playoff% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1stSAN FRANCISCO 49ERS | 5-0 | 12.8 | 4.2 | 63% | 91% |
SEATTLE SEAHAWKS | 3-2 | 10.6 | 6.4 | 20% | 69% |
LOS ANGELES RAMS | 2-3 | 10.0 | 7.0 | 17% | 65% |
ARIZONA CARDINALS | 1-4 | 5.0 | 12.0 | 0% | 3% |
| 44% |
| 25% |
| 14% |
| 7.8% |
| Los Angeles Rams | 65% | 42% | 24% | 14% | 7.6% |
| Baltimore Ravens | 79% | 51% | 28% | 14% | 7.4% |
| Kansas City Chiefs | 83% | 53% | 28% | 14% | 7.2% |
| Minnesota Vikings | 80% | 47% | 24% | 11% | 4.9% |
| New England Patriots | 72% | 40% | 19% | 10% | 4.8% |
| Chicago Bears | 52% | 30% | 15% | 7% | 3.7% |
| Detroit Lions | 57% | 32% | 16% | 7% | 3.4% |
| Denver Broncos | 63% | 33% | 15% | 7% | 3.4% |