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← Today's Edges
World Cup•FINAL
PAR

Paraguay

0

:
FRA

France

1

Win Probability

Moneyline

PAR

+1600

5.0% win prob

EV -7.5%

bet365

Draw

Draw

+550

13% prob

EV -6.5%

bet365

Moneyline

FRA

-556

81.6% win prob

EV -1.9%

bet365

Probability Explorer— drag to explore lines

Total (Over/Under)O/U 2.5
0.53.56.5
Over Cover
63.4%
EV +1.4%
-161bet365 ↗
Under Cover
36.6%
EV -8.0%
+130bet365 ↗

Goal Scorer Probabilities

France

Kylian Mbappe
59%
Ousmane Dembele
51%
Desire Doue
28%
Michael Olise
28%
Adrien Rabiot
20%
Jules Kounde
7%

Paraguay

Julio Enciso
16%
Miguel Almiron
13%
Diego Gomez
8%
Omar Alderete
6%
Andres Cubas
3%
Antonio Sanabria
3%

Odds Comparison

Away / Draw / Home

BookPAREVDrawEVFRAEV
Betfair ↗+1600-7.5%——-588-2.3%
bet365 ↗+1600-7.5%+550-6.5%-556-1.9%

Total (O/U)

BookLineOverEV (O)UnderEV (U)
Betfair ↗2.5-143+3.9%+115-10.7%
Betano ↗2.5-143+3.9%+122-9.4%
bet365 ↗2.5-161+1.4%+130-8.0%
FRA 4-2-3-1Lineup5-4-1 PAR
GillCáceresVelázquezGómezAldereteAlonsoAlmirónGómezCubasGalarzaEncisoMaignanKoundéUpamecanoSalibaDigneKonéRabiotDembéléOliseBarcolaMbappé
FRAPAR

Match Events

90
🟨
Michael Olise
FRA
81
🟨
Manu Koné
FRA
70
⚽
Kylian Mbappé
FRA
19
🟨
Bradley Barcola
FRA

Match Statistics

FRAPossessionPAR
76%
24%
15
Shots
5
5
On Target
1
12
Corners
2
11
Fouls
13
0
Offsides
0
1
Saves
4
1.45
xG
0.13
569 (510)
Passes
183 (98)
4-2-3-1
Formation
5-4-1

Player Stats

FRA

#PlayerMinGAPssSvRat
16Mike MaignanG90——28(23)—7
5Jules KoundéD90——59(56)—7.2
4Dayot UpamecanoD90——65(61)—7.3
17William SalibaD90——66(63)—7.3
3Lucas DigneD90——55(47)—7.2
6Manu KonéM90——71(66)—6.9
14Adrien RabiotM90——61(51)—6.9
11Michael OliseM90——60(56)—6.6
7Ousmane DembéléM84——41(31)—6.2
12Bradley BarcolaM61——13(13)—6.5
10Kylian MbappéF901—27(22)—7.3
Substitutes
23Robin RisserG sub——————
1Brice SambaG sub——————
2Malo GustoD sub——————
15Ibrahima KonatéD sub——————
19Theo HernándezD sub——————
21Lucas HernándezD sub——————
26Maxence LacroixD sub——————
24Rayan CherkiM sub17——5(5)—6.3
8Aurélien TchouaméniM sub——————
13N'Golo KantéM sub——————
18Warren Zaïre-EmeryM sub——————
25Maghnes AklioucheM sub——————
20Désiré DouéF sub29——18(16)—7.3
9Marcus ThuramF sub——————
22Jean-Philippe MatetaF sub——————

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World Cup

Paraguay vs France Prediction

Final · PAR 0–1 FRA · Sat, Jul 4, 2026, 5:00 PM ET

AccuScore's simulation makes France 82% to win, Paraguay 5%, with a 13% chance of a draw. Final score: Paraguay 0, France 1.

Projection updated Aug 17, 4:34 PM ET

Who will win Paraguay vs France?

AccuScore's simulation makes France the more likely winner at 82%, with a 13% chance of a draw. The game finished Paraguay 0, France 1.

Will France beat Paraguay?

AccuScore's simulation gives France a 82% chance of beating Paraguay, with 5% for Paraguay and 13% for a draw. It finished France 1, Paraguay 0.

Paraguay predictions & record →France predictions & record →

Form, head-to-head and betting trends

How Paraguay and France come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.

Recent form

ParaguayDDWL
  • Jun 29vs GermanyD 1–1
  • Jun 25at AustraliaD 0–0
  • Jun 19vs TurkeyW 1–0
  • Jun 12vs USAL 1–4

Paraguay have won 1 of their last 4 (D-D-W-L, most recent first).

FranceWWWW
  • Jun 30at SwedenW 3–0
  • Jun 26vs NorwayW 4–1
  • Jun 22at IraqW 3–0
  • Jun 16at SenegalW 3–1

France have won 4 of their last 4 (W-W-W-W, most recent first).