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← Today's Edges
World Cup•FINAL
FRA

France

4

:
ENG

England

6

Win Probability

Moneyline

FRA

-115

46.7% win prob

EV -6.3%

Betano

Draw

Draw

+320

26% prob

EV +4.6%

bet365

Moneyline

ENG

+364

27.3% win prob

EV +13.3%

Pinnacle

Probability Explorer— drag to explore lines

Total (Over/Under)O/U 3.5
0.53.56.5
Over Cover
41.1%
EV -6.9%
+110bet365 ↗
Under Cover
58.9%
EV +1.0%
-137bet365 ↗

Goal Scorer Probabilities

England

Harry Kane
37%
Bukayo Saka
21%
Marcus Rashford
19%
Jude Bellingham
9%
Declan Rice
9%
Marc Guehi
8%

France

Kylian Mbappe
45%
Ousmane Dembele
38%
Desire Doue
24%
Michael Olise
23%
Adrien Rabiot
9%
Manu Kone
6%

Odds Comparison

Away / Draw / Home

BookFRAEVDrawEVENGEV
Pinnacle ↗-135-9.4%+318+4.3%+364+13.3%
Betfair ↗-149-11.0%+320+4.6%+350+11.4%
Betano ↗-115-6.3%+315+4.0%+305+5.3%
bet365 ↗-137-9.6%+320+4.6%+320+7.3%

Total (O/U)

BookLineOverEV (O)UnderEV (U)
Pinnacle ↗4+206-5.8%+206+49.2%
Betfair ↗3.5+110-6.9%-133+1.6%
bet365 ↗3.5+110-6.9%-137+1.0%
ENG 4-1-4-1Lineup4-2-3-1 FRA
MaignanGustoKonatéLacroixHernándezZaïre-Eme…RabiotOliseCherkiDouéMbappéHendersonQuansahKonsaGuéhiSpenceRiceSakaRogersEzeRashfordToney
ENGFRA

Match Events

90
⚽
Jude Bellingham
ENG
90
⚽
Ousmane Dembélé(ass. Dayot Upamecano)
FRA
87
⚽
Bukayo Saka
ENG
66
⚽
Kylian Mbappé(ass. Michael Olise)
FRA
54
⚽
Bradley Barcola(ass. Kylian Mbappé)
FRA
48
⚽
Kylian Mbappé(ass. Michael Olise)
FRA
45
⚽
Bukayo Saka(ass. Eberechi Eze)
ENG
37
⚽
Bukayo Saka(ass. Marcus Rashford)
ENG
18
⚽
Ezri Konsa(ass. Declan Rice)
ENG
3
⚽
Declan Rice
ENG

Match Statistics

ENGPossessionFRA
54%
46%
19
Shots
19
11
On Target
9
4
Corners
3
8
Fouls
14
3
Offsides
3
5
Saves
4
2.58
xG
2.87
515 (467)
Passes
445 (405)
4-1-4-1
Formation
4-2-3-1

Player Stats

ENG

#PlayerMinGAPssSvRat
13Dean HendersonG90——37(28)57
2Ezri KonsaD901—47(45)—7.3
25Djed SpenceD90——37(32)—6.9
6Marc GuéhiD89——77(72)—7.2
26Jarell QuansahD83——35(32)—6.2
4Declan RiceM901191(87)—9.3
7Bukayo SakaM903—23(18)—9.3
17Morgan RogersM90——42(38)—6.7
21Eberechi EzeM79—156(56)—7.3
11Marcus RashfordM45—120(18)—6.9
22Ivan ToneyF79——18(14)—6.9
Substitutes
23James TraffordG sub——————
1Jordan PickfordG sub——————
24Reece JamesD sub16——2(2)—6.7
12Trevoh ChalobahD sub1—————
15Dan BurnD sub——————
5John StonesD sub——————
3Nico O'ReillyD sub——————
8Elliot AndersonM sub11——11(11)—6.3
10Jude BellinghamM sub111—8(5)—8.3
14Jordan HendersonM sub——————
19Ollie WatkinsF sub45——11(9)—6.2
18Anthony GordonF sub——————
9Harry KaneF sub——————
20Noni MaduekeF sub——————

Where to Bet

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World Cup

France vs England Prediction

Final · FRA 4–6 ENG · Sat, Jul 18, 2026, 5:00 PM ET

AccuScore's simulation makes France 47% to win, England 27%, with a 26% chance of a draw. Final score: France 4, England 6.

Projection updated Nov 7, 11:50 AM ET

Who will win France vs England?

AccuScore's simulation makes France the more likely winner at 47%, with a 26% chance of a draw. The game finished France 4, England 6.

Will England beat France?

AccuScore's simulation gives England a 27% chance of beating France, with 47% for France and 26% for a draw. It finished England 6, France 4.

France predictions & record →England predictions & record →
Today's free pick of the day
Gold Pick of the Day — FRA @ ENG: ENG ML
The full write-up: every market, the projection and why it is the Gold pick →

Form, head-to-head and betting trends

How France and England come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.

Recent form

FranceLWWWW
  • Jul 14at SpainL 0–2
  • Jul 9at MoroccoW 2–0
  • Jul 4vs ParaguayW 1–0
  • Jun 30at SwedenW 3–0
  • Jun 26vs NorwayW 4–1

France have won 4 of their last 5 (L-W-W-W-W, most recent first).

EnglandLWWWW
  • Jul 15at ArgentinaL 1–2
  • Jul 11vs NorwayW 2–1
  • Jul 5vs MexicoW 3–2
  • Jul 1at D.R. CongoW 2–1
  • Jun 27vs PanamaW 2–0

England have won 4 of their last 5 (L-W-W-W-W, most recent first).