World Cup
Across their last 7 decided games, the model had the winner in 5.
| Date | Opponent | Result | We projected | Winner called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs France | W 6–4 | 1.4 – 1.9 | ✗ | |
| at Argentina | L 1–2 | 1.0 – 1.0 | ✗ | |
| vs Norway | W 2–1 | 1.9 – 1.5 | ✓ | |
| vs Mexico | W 3–2 | 1.4 – 1.1 | ✓ | |
| at D.R. Congo | W 2–1 | 2.4 – 0.4 | ✓ | |
| vs Panama | W 2–0 | 2.1 – 0.5 | ✓ | |
| at Ghana | D 0–0 | 2.6 – 0.4 | — | |
| at Croatia | W 4–2 | 2.1 – 0.8 | ✓ |