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NCAAF

Jacksonville State vs Western Kentucky Prediction, Odds & Live Score

Sat, Nov 14, 2026, 3:30 PM ET

← Today's Edges
NCAAF•Sat, Nov 14 • 8:30 PM
JXST

Jacksonville State

7-2

VS
WKU

Western Kentucky

3-6

Win Probability

Moneyline

JXST

-229

68.7% win prob

EV -0.6%

Kalshi

Moneyline

WKU

+181

31.3% win prob

EV -6.0%

Kalshi

Analysis

Jacksonville State travels to Western Kentucky as the favored side in this matchup. The simulation leans clearly toward the Gamecocks, who project to move the ball effectively through Caden Creel's 190 passing yards and Deondre Johnson's 40 receiving yards. Western Kentucky's ability to stay within range hinges on Brock Glenn and the Hilltoppers' passing game functioning efficiently enough to keep pace. In games where AccuScore has favored one side this strongly, that side won 66 percent of 2,524 graded contests. For Western Kentucky to upset Jacksonville State at home, the Hilltoppers would need Jonathan Stafford Jr. and their receivers to significantly exceed their yardage projections.

Probability Explorer— drag to explore lines

Point SpreadJXST -6.5
48.57.25-34
JXST Cover
52.2%
EV -3.0%
-125Novig ↗
WKU Cover
47.8%
EV -4.5%
-111Novig ↗
Total (Over/Under)O/U 52.5
18.558.7599
Over Cover
51.9%
EV -8.2%
-163Novig ↗
Under Cover
48.1%
EV -11.2%
-163Novig ↗

1st Half

AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.

Leads at the half

59.1%JXST
Tied 7.6%
WKU33.3%
1st Half SpreadJXST -4
294-21
JXST Cover
46.3%
no odds at this line
WKU Cover
48.7%
no odds at this line
Push 5.1% — stake returned if it lands exactly on the line
1st Half Total (Over/Under)1H O/U 27
327.552
Over Cover
46.4%
no odds at this line
Under Cover
47.8%
no odds at this line
Push 5.9% — stake returned if it lands exactly on the total

Player Props

WKU JXST
Sort:

Odds Comparison

Spread

BookLineWKUEVJXSTEV
Novig ↗+6.5-111-4.5%-125-3.0%
ProphetX ↗+6.5-122-6.5%-129-3.7%

Moneyline

BookWKUEVJXSTEV
Kalshi ↗+181-6.0%-229-0.6%
Polymarket ↗+155-10.1%-270-2.9%

Total (O/U)

BookLineOverEV (O)UnderEV (U)
Novig ↗52.5-163-8.2%-163-11.2%

Where to Bet

DraftKingsBet →FanDuelBet →BetMGMBet →KalshiBet →PolymarketBet →

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AccuScore's simulation makes Jacksonville State 69% to beat Western Kentucky (31%).

Projection updated Nov 8, 2:50 PM ET

Who will win Jacksonville State vs Western Kentucky?

AccuScore's simulation makes Jacksonville State the more likely winner at 69%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.

Will Western Kentucky beat Jacksonville State?

AccuScore's simulation gives Western Kentucky a 31% chance of beating Jacksonville State, against 69% for Jacksonville State. Western Kentucky are at home but the underdog on these numbers.

Every Jacksonville State vs Western Kentucky meeting →Jacksonville State predictions & record →Western Kentucky predictions & record →

Season outlook

Jacksonville State (7-2 so far) project to finish 8.1–3.9 and make the College Football Playoff in <1% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.

Western Kentucky (3-6 so far) project to finish 5.1–6.9 and make the College Football Playoff in 0% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.

TeamProjected recordDivision titlePlayoffs
Jacksonville State8.1–3.914%<1%
Western Kentucky5.1–6.90%0%

From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAF team's projection →

Form, head-to-head and betting trends

How Jacksonville State and Western Kentucky come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.

Recent form

Jacksonville StateWWWWW
  • Nov 7vs Sam HoustonW 47–14
  • Oct 28at New Mexico StateW 24–0
  • Oct 13vs Florida InternationalW 27–24
  • Oct 7at Kennesaw StateW 27–26
  • Sep 26vs Middle TennesseeW 23–13

Jacksonville State have won 5 of their last 5 (W-W-W-W-W, most recent first).

Western KentuckyLLWWL
  • Nov 7at Middle TennesseeL 42–51
  • Oct 27vs DelawareL 21–35
  • Oct 14at Sam HoustonW 16–3
  • Oct 8vs Missouri StateW 34–13
  • Oct 1at New Mexico StateL 13–34

Western Kentucky have won 2 of their last 5 (L-L-W-W-L, most recent first).

Head-to-head

The teams have met 3 times since 2024: Jacksonville State 2, Western Kentucky 1. The last meeting, on Nov 29, 2025, finished Western Kentucky 34, Jacksonville State 37.

  • Nov 29, 2025WKU 34 – 37 JXST
  • Dec 5, 2024WKU 12 – 52 JXST
  • Nov 30, 2024JXST 17 – 19 WKU
Every Jacksonville State vs Western Kentucky meeting →

Betting trends

Western Kentucky are 68-29 as favourite and 26-40 as underdog, and 49-26 at home (65% of 75 games, 2011–2026).

RecordJXSTWKU
As favourite—68-29
As underdog—26-40
At home—49-26
On the road—48-47

Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the point spread. How the NCAAF odds have moved →