Florida International
4-6
Kennesaw State
4-6
Win Probability
Florida International travels to face Kennesaw State in a matchup between evenly matched teams, with the simulation favoring the hosts. Kennesaw State quarterback Landon Varnes is projected for 120 passing yards, while Florida International's JJ Kohl should exceed 170 through the air—a gap that reflects how the visitors plan to move the ball. The game turns on run defense; Boogie Woods III's 55 rushing yards for Kennesaw State against Devonte Lyons's 55 projected for Florida International suggest both offenses will lean ground in a tight contest. In similar spots, AccuScore's favored side has won 66% of the time across 2,539 graded games. Florida International would need to hold Kennesaw State's rushing attack well below projection to pull the upset.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
EV is the simulation's chance times the book's price, minus 1. It is what the simulation expects, not a guaranteed return; the props archive shows what value picks actually earned.
| Book | KENN | EV | FIU | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi ↗ | -148 | +1.5% | +124 | -6.9% |
| Polymarket ↗ | -204 | -4.2% | +111 | -9.4% |
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NCAAF
AccuScore's simulation makes Kennesaw State 62% to beat Florida International (39%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Kennesaw State the more likely winner at 62%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Kennesaw State a 62% chance of beating Florida International, against 39% for Florida International. Kennesaw State are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Florida International (4-6 so far) project to finish 5.2–6.8 and make the College Football Playoff in 0% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Kennesaw State (4-6 so far) project to finish 5.1–6.9 and make the College Football Playoff in 0% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Division title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Florida International | 5.2–6.8 | 0% | 0% |
| Kennesaw State | 5.1–6.9 | 0% | 0% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAF team's projection →
How Florida International and Kennesaw State come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Florida International have won 1 of their last 5 (L-W-L-L-L, most recent first).
Kennesaw State have won 3 of their last 5 (W-W-W-L-L, most recent first).