Manchester City
RB Leipzig
Win Probability
Moneyline
MCI
60.7% win prob
Moneyline
RBL
20.8% win prob
Manchester City travel to RB Leipzig in a Champions League fixture where the simulation decisively favours the visitors. The model projects a high-scoring affair, with Manchester City's attacking threat the decisive factor: over 71 per cent of simulations see the combined total exceed the market's expectation. Historically, AccuScore's model has backed away sides in situations like this one across eight comparable games and won four of them. Leipzig would need a defensive performance well above projection to overturn the simulation's lean toward City's superiority in chance creation and conversion.
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Champions League
AccuScore's simulation makes Manchester City 61% to win, RB Leipzig 21%, with a 19% chance of a draw.
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Manchester City the more likely winner at 61%, with a 19% chance of a draw. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives RB Leipzig a 21% chance of beating Manchester City, with 61% for Manchester City and 19% for a draw. RB Leipzig are at home but the underdog on these numbers.
How Manchester City and RB Leipzig come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Manchester City have won 1 of their last 2 (W-L, most recent first).
RB Leipzig have won 1 of their last 2 (L-W, most recent first).