NBA • Thu, Nov 5, 00:00
The Philadelphia 76ers travel to Detroit to face the Pistons in a matchup the simulation favors to the home side, though not decisively. Joel Embiid projects a 49% chance of surpassing 30 points, rebounds and assists, while Cade Cunningham has a 48% chance at exceeding 37 combined. For Philadelphia to pull the upset, one of its lead scorers would need to post a truly dominant night while Detroit's secondary contributors underperform.
See the model's win probabilities, projected and most-likely score, the positive-EV edge with its price, the record behind it, and the full write-up — for this game and every game.
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Philadelphia 76ers (6-1 so far) project to finish 43.4–38.6 and make the playoffs in 65% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Detroit Pistons (5-1 so far) project to finish 54.3–27.7 and make the playoffs in 91% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Division title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia 76ers | 43.4–38.6 | 10% | 65% |
| Detroit Pistons | 54.3–27.7 | 67% | 91% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NBA team's projection →
NBA
AccuScore's simulation makes Detroit Pistons 59% to beat Philadelphia 76ers (41%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Detroit Pistons the more likely winner at 59%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Detroit Pistons a 59% chance of beating Philadelphia 76ers, against 41% for Philadelphia 76ers. Detroit Pistons are at home and favoured on these numbers.
How Philadelphia 76ers and Detroit Pistons come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Philadelphia 76ers have won 4 of their last 5 (W-W-W-W-L, most recent first).
Detroit Pistons have won 4 of their last 5 (W-W-W-L-W, most recent first).
The teams have met 58 times since 2011: Philadelphia 76ers 34, Detroit Pistons 24. The last meeting, on Oct 25, 2026, finished Detroit Pistons 106, Philadelphia 76ers 93.
Philadelphia 76ers are 411-189 as favourite and 201-512 as underdog, and 276-412 on the road (40% of 688 games, 2010–2026).
Detroit Pistons are 274-170 as favourite and 226-567 as underdog, and 306-343 at home (47% of 649 games, 2010–2026).
| Record | PHI | DET |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 411-189 | 274-170 |
| As underdog | 201-512 | 226-567 |
| At home | 379-309 | 306-343 |
| On the road | 276-412 | 209-443 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the point spread. How the NBA odds have moved →