Miami Heat
2-5
Golden State Warriors
5-3
| Book | GS | EV | MIA | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi ↗ | -191 | — | +152 | — |
| Polymarket ↗ | -179 | — | +155 | — |
Share of bets (grey) and of money (green) on each side, per source. Sportsbook figures count tickets; Polymarket counts traders and Kalshi counts trades. Sources are shown separately, never averaged.
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NBA
Miami Heat (2-5 so far) project to finish 39.7–42.3 and make the playoffs in 55% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Golden State Warriors (5-3 so far) project to finish 45.5–36.5 and make the playoffs in 63% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Division title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Miami Heat | 39.7–42.3 | 21% | 55% |
| Golden State Warriors | 45.5–36.5 | 34% | 63% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NBA team's projection →
How Miami Heat and Golden State Warriors come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Miami Heat have won 2 of their last 5 (L-W-W-L-L, most recent first).
Golden State Warriors have won 5 of their last 5 (W-W-W-W-W, most recent first).
The teams have met 31 times since 2010: Miami Heat 14, Golden State Warriors 17. The last meeting, on Jan 19, 2026, finished Miami Heat 112, Golden State Warriors 135.
Miami Heat are 588-273 as favourite and 208-300 as underdog, and 364-355 on the road (51% of 719 games, 2010–2026).
Golden State Warriors are 665-236 as favourite and 164-289 as underdog, and 488-224 at home (69% of 712 games, 2010–2026).
| Record | MIA | GS |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 588-273 | 665-236 |
| As underdog | 208-300 | 164-289 |
| At home | 470-245 | 488-224 |
| On the road | 364-355 | 375-336 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the point spread. How the NBA odds have moved →