Miami Heat vs Golden State Warriors Prediction

1 meeting scheduled · 31 played since 2010

Next game · Thu, Nov 5, 10:00 PM ET

Miami Heat

Golden State Warriors

AccuScore's projection is posted closer to the game.Full breakdown and odds →

Simulation stories: Miami Heat and Golden State Warriors

Oct 30
Why Miami Heat's Playoff Odds Jumped 8.5 Points Overnight
AccuScore's simulation lifted the Miami Heat's playoff odds as division rivals Atlanta Hawks and Orlando Magic both slipped, with Indiana Pacers up next.

Past meetings · MIA 14–17 GS

DateFinalAccuScoreFavourite

Jan 19, 2026MIA 112 – 135 GSGS 56%✓ won

Nov 19, 2025GS 96 – 110 MIAMIA 59%✓ won

Mar 25, 2025GS 86 – 112 MIAGS 70%✗ lost

Jan 7, 2025MIA 114 – 98 GSGS 63%✗ lost

Mar 26, 2024GS 113 – 92 MIAGS 65%✓ won

Show 26 more

DateFinalAccuScoreFavourite

Dec 28, 2023MIA 114 – 102 GSGS 57%✗ lost

Nov 1, 2022

When do Miami Heat and Golden State Warriors play next?

Miami Heat visit Golden State Warriors on Thu, Nov 5, 10:00 PM ET.

Who won the last Miami Heat vs Golden State Warriors game?

On Jan 19, 2026 it finished Miami Heat 112, Golden State Warriors 135.

What is the Miami Heat vs Golden State Warriors head-to-head record?

Since 2010: Miami Heat 14 wins, Golden State Warriors 17 over 31 meetings on record.

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Oct 27, 2022MIA 110 – 123 GSMIA 55%✗ lost

Mar 23, 2022GS 118 – 104 MIAMIA 58%✗ lost

Jan 3, 2022MIA 108 – 115 GSGS 74%✓ won

Apr 1, 2021GS 109 – 115 MIAGS 53%✗ lost

Feb 17, 2021MIA 112 – 120 GSGS 52%✓ won

Feb 10, 2020MIA 113 – 101 GSMIA 70%✓ won

Nov 29, 2019GS 105 – 122 MIAMIA 83%✓ won

Feb 27, 2019GS 125 – 126 MIAGS 81%✗ lost

Feb 10, 2019MIA 118 – 120 GSGS 89%✓ won

Dec 3, 2017GS 123 – 95 MIAGS 81%✓ won

Nov 6, 2017MIA 80 – 97 GSGS 92%✓ won

Jan 23, 2017GS 102 – 105 MIAGS 73%✗ lost

Jan 10, 2017MIA 95 – 107 GSGS 92%✓ won

Feb 24, 2016GS 118 – 112 MIAGS 62%✓ won

Jan 11, 2016MIA 103 – 111 GSGS 85%✓ won

Jan 14, 2015MIA 89 – 104 GSGS 92%✓ won

Nov 25, 2014GS 114 – 97 MIAGS 74%✓ won

Feb 12, 2014MIA 111 – 110 GSGS 53%✗ lost

Jan 2, 2014GS 123 – 114 MIAMIA 64%✗ lost

Jan 16, 2013MIA 92 – 75 GSMIA 64%✓ won

Dec 12, 2012GS 97 – 95 MIAMIA 76%✗ lost

Jan 10, 2012MIA 106 – 111 GSMIA 78%✗ lost

Jan 1, 2011GS 107 – 114 MIA——

Dec 10, 2010MIA 106 – 84 GS——

AccuScore's most likely outcome came in 17 of the 29 meetings it priced.

Meetings from 2010 on include AccuScore's game archive.

Season outlook

Miami Heat (2-5 so far) project to finish 39.7–42.3 and make the playoffs in 55% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.

Golden State Warriors (5-3 so far) project to finish 45.5–36.5 and make the playoffs in 63% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.

Team	Projected record	Division title	Playoffs
Miami Heat	39.7–42.3	21%	55%
Golden State Warriors	45.5–36.5	34%	63%

From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NBA team's projection →