Pepperdine
Cornell
Win Probability
Pepperdine travels to Cornell in a matchup the simulation barely favours the hosts. The projected margin is negligible, turning entirely on whether either team can consistently score in transition; across eight similarly balanced games, AccuScore's model has gone 5-3. Pepperdine's [player name needed from data] and Cornell's [player name needed from data] will be central to controlling pace. For Pepperdine to pull off the upset on the road, it will need to force Cornell into half-court sets where the visitors can dictate spacing.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
| Book | COR | EV | PEPP | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | +145 | +13.7% | -175 | -12.3% |
| FanDuel ↗ | +136 | +11.4% | -164 | -11.4% |
| BetMGM ↗ | +140 | +12.4% | -170 | -11.9% |
| Caesars ↗ | +148 | +14.5% | -175 | -12.3% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | +145 | +13.7% | -170 | -11.9% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 164.5 | -105 | -1.8% | -115 | -2.7% |
| FanDuel ↗ | 163.5 | -106 | +0.2% | -114 | -4.7% |
| BetMGM ↗ | 164.5 | -105 | -1.8% | -115 | -2.7% |
| Caesars ↗ | 164 | -110 | -1.7% | -110 | -2.7% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | 164.5 | -105 | -1.8% | -115 | -2.7% |
Share of bets (grey) and of money (green) on each side, per source. Sportsbook figures count tickets; Polymarket counts traders and Kalshi counts trades. Sources are shown separately, never averaged.
Where to Bet
silverWin probability: 52.0%
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NCAAB
AccuScore's simulation makes Cornell 52% to beat Pepperdine (48%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Cornell the more likely winner at 52%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Cornell a 52% chance of beating Pepperdine, against 48% for Pepperdine. Cornell are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Pepperdine project to finish 11.6–18.4 and make the NCAA Tournament in 5% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Cornell project to finish 14.9–12.1 and make the NCAA Tournament in 26% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pepperdine | 11.6–18.4 | 2% | 5% |
| Cornell | 14.9–12.1 | 19% | 26% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →