Kent State
Louisiana Tech
Win Probability
Kent State travels to face Louisiana Tech in a matchup the model clearly favors the visiting Golden Flashes. The simulation hinges on perimeter scoring: Kent State's guard play needs to stay efficient while Louisiana Tech's backcourt must keep pace to stay competitive. Over 50,000 simulations, the projected margin sits at just 2.4 points, a tight contest despite the directional lean. In eight statistically similar games, AccuScore's side won five, a record that reflects how narrow these spots can be. For Louisiana Tech to pull off the upset at home, its offense would need to exceed the low 71-point projection significantly.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
| Book | LT | EV | KENT | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | +205 | +11.5% | -250 | -8.2% |
| FanDuel ↗ | +195 | +9.4% | -240 | -7.7% |
| BetMGM ↗ | +200 | +10.5% | -250 | -8.2% |
| Caesars ↗ | +205 | +11.5% | -250 | -8.2% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | +210 | +12.5% | -250 | -8.2% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 145.5 | -105 | -3.0% | -115 | -1.5% |
| FanDuel ↗ | 145.5 | -110 | -4.1% | -110 | -0.5% |
| BetMGM ↗ | 145.5 | -105 | -3.0% | -115 | -1.5% |
| Caesars ↗ | 145 | -110 | -2.8% | -110 | -1.6% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | 145.5 | -105 | -3.0% | -115 | -1.5% |
Share of bets (grey) and of money (green) on each side, per source. Sportsbook figures count tickets; Polymarket counts traders and Kalshi counts trades. Sources are shown separately, never averaged.
Where to Bet
silverWin probability: 40.3%
Get one of today's Gold picks delivered every morning — free.
No spam. Unsubscribe anytime.
NCAAB
AccuScore's simulation makes Kent State 60% to beat Louisiana Tech (40%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Kent State the more likely winner at 60%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Louisiana Tech a 40% chance of beating Kent State, against 60% for Kent State. Louisiana Tech are at home but the underdog on these numbers.
Kent State project to finish 14.5–13.5 and make the NCAA Tournament in 15% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Louisiana Tech project to finish 16.6–12.4 and make the NCAA Tournament in 20% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kent State | 14.5–13.5 | 9% | 15% |
| Louisiana Tech | 16.6–12.4 | 14% | 20% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →