Robert Morris
Nevada
Win Probability
Nevada hosts Robert Morris in a matchup where the simulation decisively favors the home side. The Wolf Pack's depth should prove decisive, with Nevada's scoring spread across multiple contributors—a profile that has gone 8-0 in similar spots across AccuScore's historical record. Robert Morris will need to manufacture an upset through sustained offensive efficiency; the game hinges on whether the Colonials can keep pace in a contest projected to stay close enough that there's a 48% chance the combined score clears the market total. For an upset to materialize, Robert Morris would need to sustain production throughout rather than rely on any single source—a tall order against a host that the model strongly prefers.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
| Book | Line | NEV | EV | RMU | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel ↗ | -13.5 | -110 | -11.8% | -110 | +7.3% |
| BetMGM ↗ | -13.5 | -105 | -11.0% | -115 | +6.1% |
| Caesars ↗ | -13 | -110 | -10.1% | -110 | +5.7% |
| BetRivers ↗ | -13.5 | -110 | -11.8% | -115 | +6.1% |
| Book | NEV | EV | RMU | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel ↗ | -1250 | -5.4% | +740 | +23.5% |
| BetMGM ↗ | -1000 | -4.6% | +625 | +13.4% |
| BetRivers ↗ | -1111 | -5.0% | +600 | +11.2% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel ↗ | 145.5 | -110 | -6.5% | -110 | +1.9% |
| BetMGM ↗ | 144.5 | -115 | -5.0% | -105 | +0.7% |
| Caesars ↗ | 144.5 | -110 | -4.1% | -110 | -0.5% |
| BetRivers ↗ | 145.5 | -108 | -6.1% | -120 | -0.1% |
Share of bets (grey) and of money (green) on each side, per source. Sportsbook figures count tickets; Polymarket counts traders and Kalshi counts trades. Sources are shown separately, never averaged.
Where to Bet
silverWin probability: 60.0%
Get one of today's Gold picks delivered every morning — free.
No spam. Unsubscribe anytime.
NCAAB
AccuScore's simulation makes Nevada 83% to beat Robert Morris (18%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Nevada the more likely winner at 83%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Nevada a 83% chance of beating Robert Morris, against 18% for Robert Morris. Nevada are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Robert Morris project to finish 17.7–13.3 and make the NCAA Tournament in 25% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Nevada project to finish 18.5–12.5 and make the NCAA Tournament in 30% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Morris | 17.7–13.3 | 20% | 25% |
| Nevada | 18.5–12.5 | 19% | 30% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →