Howard
Alcorn State
Win Probability
Howard travels to Alcorn State as a decisive favourite in this matchup between the two programs. The simulation projects a six-point margin in Howard's favour, with the visiting side's superior execution expected to show over forty minutes. On games shaped statistically like this one, AccuScore's model has won 75 percent of the time across eight comparable contests. The game turns on ball security and three-point shooting; both teams' efficiency in those areas will determine whether this plays as a four-point result or a blowout. For Alcorn State to pull the upset at home, it would need to force turnovers early and establish interior scoring before Howard's depth wears down the defence.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
| Book | ALCN | EV | HOW | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | +260 | -5.4% | -325 | -0.8% |
| FanDuel ↗ | +240 | -7.8% | -300 | +0.1% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | +260 | -5.4% | -320 | -0.7% |
| Fanatics ↗ | +250 | -6.6% | -320 | -0.7% |
| BetRivers ↗ | +260 | -5.4% | -360 | -2.0% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 150.5 | -110 | -4.8% | -110 | +0.2% |
| FanDuel ↗ | 150.5 | -110 | -4.8% | -110 | +0.2% |
| Caesars ↗ | 150.5 | -110 | -4.8% | -110 | +0.2% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | 150.5 | -110 | -4.8% | -110 | +0.2% |
| Fanatics ↗ | 150.5 | -110 | -4.8% | -110 | +0.2% |
Share of bets (grey) and of money (green) on each side, per source. Sportsbook figures count tickets; Polymarket counts traders and Kalshi counts trades. Sources are shown separately, never averaged.
Where to Bet
silverWin probability: 75.2%
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NCAAB
AccuScore's simulation makes Howard 75% to beat Alcorn State (25%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Howard the more likely winner at 75%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Alcorn State a 25% chance of beating Howard, against 75% for Howard. Alcorn State are at home but the underdog on these numbers.
Howard (0-1 so far) project to finish 18.0–10.0 and make the NCAA Tournament in 43% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Alcorn State (0-1 so far) project to finish 8.4–23.6 and make the NCAA Tournament in 3% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Howard | 18.0–10.0 | 55% | 43% |
| Alcorn State | 8.4–23.6 | 3% | 3% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How Howard and Alcorn State come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
The teams have met once since 2025: Howard 1, Alcorn State 0. The last meeting, on Nov 12, 2025, finished Alcorn State 64, Howard 72.