NCAAB
Cornell
Lehigh
Win Probability
Cornell travels to Lehigh in a Patriot League matchup where the simulation favors the visiting Big Red. The model projects a tight contest that turns on three-point shooting: Cornell's backcourt will need to sustain the volume that powers their offensive ceiling, while Lehigh's perimeter defense must tighten to keep pace. In games with this win-probability shape, AccuScore's model has gone 6-2 across other matchups, a record that suggests modest confidence in the leaner. For Lehigh to pull off the upset at home, their interior must dominate the glass and limit Cornell's second chances.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
| Book | LEH | EV | COR | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | -102 | -8.5% | -118 | +3.7% |
| FanDuel ↗ | -104 | -8.9% | -115 | +4.3% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | +100 | -8.1% | -120 | +3.3% |
| Fanatics ↗ | +100 | -8.1% | -120 | +3.3% |
| BetRivers ↗ | -110 | -10.0% | -115 | +4.3% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 159.5 | -110 | -0.2% | -110 | -4.4% |
| FanDuel ↗ | 159.5 | -115 | -1.2% | -105 | -3.3% |
| Caesars ↗ | 159.5 | -110 | -0.2% | -110 | -4.4% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | 159.5 | -110 | -0.2% | -110 | -4.4% |
| Fanatics ↗ | 149.5 | -300 | -0.1% | +230 | -8.6% |
Share of bets (grey) and of money (green) on each side, per source. Sportsbook figures count tickets; Polymarket counts traders and Kalshi counts trades. Sources are shown separately, never averaged.
Where to Bet
silverWin probability: 58.1%
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AccuScore's simulation makes Cornell 58% to beat Lehigh (42%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Cornell the more likely winner at 58%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Lehigh a 42% chance of beating Cornell, against 58% for Cornell. Lehigh are at home but the underdog on these numbers.
Cornell (1-0 so far) project to finish 15.0–12.0 and make the NCAA Tournament in 16% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Lehigh (0-1 so far) project to finish 13.1–15.9 and make the NCAA Tournament in 9% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How Cornell and Lehigh come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
The teams have met 2 times since 2022: Cornell 2, Lehigh 0. The last meeting, on Nov 5, 2023, finished Cornell 84, Lehigh 78.