South Florida
DePaul
Win Probability
South Florida travels to Chicago to face DePaul in a matchup where the home team enjoys a clear advantage in the simulation. The Blue Demons' depth should tell over forty minutes, though the Bulls have the talent to stay close if their perimeter shooting ignites. AccuScore's model projects this as a grinding affair decided in the final possessions, with a 48% chance the combined score clears the market total. In eight similar games from the model's history, the favoured side won four times, a reminder that advantages this pronounced do not guarantee outcomes. South Florida would need to control the pace and force DePaul into isolation situations to pull the upset.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
| Book | DEP | EV | USF | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | -278 | -7.1% | +225 | +10.0% |
| FanDuel ↗ | -280 | -7.2% | +225 | +10.0% |
| BetMGM ↗ | -275 | -7.0% | +225 | +10.0% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | -280 | -7.2% | +230 | +10.9% |
| Fanatics ↗ | -275 | -7.0% | +220 | +9.0% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 150.5 | -108 | -6.4% | -112 | +1.8% |
| FanDuel ↗ | 150.5 | -115 | -7.7% | -105 | +3.4% |
| BetMGM ↗ | 150.5 | -110 | -6.8% | -110 | +2.2% |
| Caesars ↗ | 150.5 | -110 | -6.8% | -110 | +2.2% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | 150.5 | -110 | -6.8% | -110 | +2.2% |
Share of bets (grey) and of money (green) on each side, per source. Sportsbook figures count tickets; Polymarket counts traders and Kalshi counts trades. Sources are shown separately, never averaged.
Where to Bet
silverWin probability: 36.9%
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NCAAB
AccuScore's simulation makes DePaul 63% to beat South Florida (37%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes DePaul the more likely winner at 63%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives DePaul a 63% chance of beating South Florida, against 37% for South Florida. DePaul are at home and favoured on these numbers.
South Florida (1-0 so far) project to finish 22.8–9.2 and make the NCAA Tournament in 47% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
DePaul (1-0 so far) project to finish 13.3–18.7 and make the NCAA Tournament in 13% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| South Florida | 22.8–9.2 | 33% | 47% |
| DePaul | 13.3–18.7 | 1% | 13% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How South Florida and DePaul come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
South Florida have won 1 of their last 1 (W, most recent first).
The teams have met 2 times since 2012: South Florida 2, DePaul 0. The last meeting, on Mar 3, 2013, finished DePaul 73, South Florida 83.