Wofford
North Carolina
Win Probability
When Wofford visits North Carolina, the simulation decisively favors the home side. The model projects North Carolina to control pace and execution, with pace-and-space guards creating separation that Wofford's travelling roster will struggle to match across forty minutes. On games with this win-probability shape across eight comparable matchups, the favored side won all eight, a perfect record that underscores how rarely upsets materialize from this position. For Wofford to compete, their perimeter shooting would need to stay hot early and force North Carolina into foul trouble; anything less leaves them chasing a gap that typically only widens.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
| Book | UNC | EV | WOF | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | -6500 | -1.2% | +2000 | -10.1% |
| FanDuel ↗ | -10000 | -1.4% | +2500 | -0.6% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | -20000 | -1.7% | +3000 | +8.9% |
| Fanatics ↗ | -9000 | -1.4% | +2800 | +5.1% |
| Polymarket ↗ | -5721 | -1.1% | +814 | -32.6% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 156.5 | -110 | -0.9% | -110 | -3.6% |
| FanDuel ↗ | 156.5 | -105 | +0.2% | -115 | -4.6% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | 156.5 | -110 | -0.9% | -110 | -3.6% |
| Fanatics ↗ | 156 | -110 | +0.5% | -110 | -4.9% |
| Polymarket ↗ | 155.5 | -129 | -1.8% | -102 | -4.7% |
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NCAAB
AccuScore's simulation makes North Carolina 96% to beat Wofford (4%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes North Carolina the more likely winner at 96%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives North Carolina a 96% chance of beating Wofford, against 4% for Wofford. North Carolina are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Wofford (0-1 so far) project to finish 13.5–15.5 and make the NCAA Tournament in 7% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
North Carolina (1-0 so far) project to finish 20.1–11.9 and make the NCAA Tournament in 62% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wofford | 13.5–15.5 | 7% | 7% |
| North Carolina | 20.1–11.9 | 7% | 62% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How Wofford and North Carolina come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
North Carolina have won 1 of their last 1 (W, most recent first).
The teams have met 2 times since 2017: Wofford 1, North Carolina 1. The last meeting, on Nov 6, 2018, finished North Carolina 78, Wofford 67.