NCAAB • Sat, Nov 7, 01:00
Minnesota hosts St. Thomas in a matchup where the simulation decisively favors the Golden Gophers. The model projects a low-scoring affair tilted toward the home side's advantage, with St. Thomas's offensive output likely to struggle against Minnesota's setup. In games where AccuScore has leaned this strongly toward the home team, the favored side has won 92% of the time across 760 graded contests.
See the model's win probabilities, projected and most-likely score, the positive-EV edge with its price, the record behind it, and the full write-up — for this game and every game.
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St. Thomas (1-0 so far) project to finish 19.4–9.6 and make the NCAA Tournament in 35% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Minnesota (1-0 so far) project to finish 16.7–15.3 and make the NCAA Tournament in 33% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| St. Thomas | 19.4–9.6 | 43% | 35% |
| Minnesota | 16.7–15.3 | 1% | 33% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
NCAAB
AccuScore's simulation makes Minnesota 87% to beat St. Thomas (13%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Minnesota the more likely winner at 87%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Minnesota a 87% chance of beating St. Thomas, against 13% for St. Thomas. Minnesota are at home and favoured on these numbers.
How St. Thomas and Minnesota come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.