College Basketball · Summit League
AccuScore projects St. Thomas to finish 17.7–11.3 with a 33% chance of making the NCAA Tournament and a 0.1% chance of winning the national championship.
From the daily season simulation: every remaining game played out thousands of times, then the 76-team tournament. All 365 schools →
| Make the field | 33.3% | |
| Play in the First Round | 26.4% | |
| Reach the Second Round | 10.1% | |
| Reach the Sweet 16 | 4.3% | |
| Reach the Elite Eight | 1.7% | |
| Reach the Final Four | 0.8% | |
| Reach the Championship | 0.3% | |
| Win the national title | 0.1% |
Likeliest seed lines: 16 (7%), 15 (6%), 14 (3%), 13 (3%).
| School | Proj | Conf title | Tourney |
|---|---|---|---|
| St. Thomas | 17.7–11.3 | 32% | 33% |
| North Dakota State | 17.5–11.5 | 33% | 35% |
| South Dakota State | 13.8–13.2 | 15% | 17% |
| North Dakota | 12.3–15.7 | 12% | 13% |
| South Dakota | 12.0–16.0 | 8% | 9% |
| Omaha | 11.2–14.8 | 11% |
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| 12% |
| Oral Roberts | 10.1–15.9 | 9% | 10% |
| Kansas City | 7.7–20.3 | 2% | 2% |