Detroit Mercy
Marquette
Win Probability
Detroit Mercy travels to face Marquette in a game where the simulation strongly favours the home side. On the strength of matchups shaped like this one, AccuScore's model has won 97% of 513 comparable games. Marquette's offensive output will likely determine the margin; the projection hinges on whether Detroit Mercy can stay within striking distance early. For the visitors to pull off an upset, they would need to limit Marquette's scoring and execute efficiently on their limited offensive possessions.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
| Book | Line | MARQ | EV | DETM | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | -32.5 | -112 | -15.7% | -108 | +11.4% |
| FanDuel ↗ | -31.5 | -118 | -13.7% | -104 | +9.5% |
| BetMGM ↗ | -32.5 | -115 | -16.2% | -105 | +12.3% |
| Caesars ↗ | -32.5 | -110 | -15.4% | -110 | +10.9% |
| Fanatics ↗ | -32.5 | -110 | -15.4% | -110 | +10.9% |
| Book | MARQ | EV | DETM | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM ↗ | -10000 | +0.0% | +3300 | -34.7% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 154.5 | -115 | -7.2% | -105 | +2.9% |
| FanDuel ↗ | 154.5 | -115 | -7.2% | -105 | +2.9% |
| BetMGM ↗ | 154.5 | -115 | -7.2% | -105 | +2.9% |
| Caesars ↗ | 155 | -110 | -7.4% | -110 | +2.9% |
| Fanatics ↗ | 155 | -110 | -7.4% | -110 | +2.9% |
Share of bets (grey) and of money (green) on each side, per source. Sportsbook figures count tickets; Polymarket counts traders and Kalshi counts trades. Sources are shown separately, never averaged.
Where to Bet
silverWin probability: 63.8%
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NCAAB
AccuScore's simulation makes Marquette 99% to beat Detroit Mercy (1%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Marquette the more likely winner at 99%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Marquette a 99% chance of beating Detroit Mercy, against 1% for Detroit Mercy. Marquette are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Detroit Mercy project to finish 11.7–15.3 and make the NCAA Tournament in 7% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Marquette (1-0 so far) project to finish 18.9–13.1 and make the NCAA Tournament in 50% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Detroit Mercy | 11.7–15.3 | 7% | 7% |
| Marquette | 18.9–13.1 | 8% | 50% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How Detroit Mercy and Marquette come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.