Idaho State
Wyoming
Win Probability
Wyoming hosts Idaho State in a matchup the simulation favors decisively to the home side. The Cowgirls project to 81.9 points against the Bengals' 65.2, a gap built on execution at both ends. In games where AccuScore's model has leaned this heavily toward one side, that side won 97% of the time across 513 graded contests. Idaho State would need to hold Wyoming well below its projection while climbing toward the upper end of its own range to pull the upset.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
| Book | Line | WYO | EV | IDST | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | -18.5 | -115 | -9.0% | -105 | +4.8% |
| FanDuel ↗ | -18.5 | -110 | -8.1% | -110 | +3.5% |
| BetMGM ↗ | -18.5 | -115 | -9.0% | -105 | +4.8% |
| Caesars ↗ | -18.5 | -110 | -8.1% | -110 | +3.5% |
| Fanatics ↗ | -18.5 | -110 | -8.1% | -110 | +3.5% |
| Book | WYO | EV | IDST | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | -2500 | -2.0% | +1300 | +3.2% |
| FanDuel ↗ | -5000 | -2.9% | +1400 | +7.0% |
| BetMGM ↗ | -3333 | -2.4% | +1250 | +1.3% |
| Fanatics ↗ | -3333 | -2.4% | +1500 | +10.8% |
| BetRivers ↗ | -10000 | -3.3% | +1300 | +3.2% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 146.5 | -105 | -2.6% | -115 | -2.0% |
| FanDuel ↗ | 145.5 | -110 | -1.1% | -110 | -3.4% |
| BetMGM ↗ | 145.5 | -115 | -2.1% | -105 | -2.4% |
| Caesars ↗ | 145.5 | -110 | -1.1% | -110 | -3.4% |
| Fanatics ↗ | 146 | -110 | -2.3% | -110 | -2.1% |
Share of bets (grey) and of money (green) on each side, per source. Sportsbook figures count tickets; Polymarket counts traders and Kalshi counts trades. Sources are shown separately, never averaged.
Where to Bet
silverWin probability: 56.1%
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NCAAB
AccuScore's simulation makes Wyoming 92% to beat Idaho State (8%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Wyoming the more likely winner at 92%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Wyoming a 92% chance of beating Idaho State, against 8% for Idaho State. Wyoming are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Idaho State (0-1 so far) project to finish 9.3–19.7 and make the NCAA Tournament in 2% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Wyoming project to finish 17.2–13.8 and make the NCAA Tournament in 11% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Idaho State | 9.3–19.7 | 2% | 2% |
| Wyoming | 17.2–13.8 | 7% | 11% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How Idaho State and Wyoming come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.