NCAAB • Sat, Nov 7, 02:30
Tarleton State travels to San Diego in a matchup where the simulation leans clearly toward the Toreros at home. The game hinges on perimeter shooting: if San Diego can sustain its offensive efficiency, the Toreros should pull away, but Tarleton State stays competitive if it forces enough three-point attempts to stay within striking distance. AccuScore's lean this strong has historically resulted in the favored side winning 68% of the time across similar matchups.
See the model's win probabilities, projected and most-likely score, the positive-EV edge with its price, the record behind it, and the full write-up — for this game and every game.
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Tarleton State project to finish 13.1–14.9 and make the NCAA Tournament in 10% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
San Diego project to finish 10.2–18.8 and make the NCAA Tournament in 1% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tarleton State | 13.1–14.9 | 11% | 10% |
| San Diego | 10.2–18.8 | 1% | 1% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
NCAAB
AccuScore's simulation makes San Diego 68% to beat Tarleton State (32%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes San Diego the more likely winner at 68%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives San Diego a 68% chance of beating Tarleton State, against 32% for Tarleton State. San Diego are at home and favoured on these numbers.