College Basketball · United Athletic
AccuScore projects Tarleton State to finish 13.4–14.6 with a 13% chance of making the NCAA Tournament and a 0.0% chance of winning the national championship.
From the daily season simulation: every remaining game played out thousands of times, then the 76-team tournament. All 365 schools →
| Make the field | 13.2% | |
| Play in the First Round | 9.0% | |
| Reach the Second Round | 2.3% | |
| Reach the Sweet 16 | 0.9% | |
| Reach the Elite Eight | 0.3% | |
| Reach the Final Four | 0.1% | |
| Reach the Championship | 0.0% | |
| Win the national title | 0.0% |
Likeliest seed lines: 16 (5%), 15 (3%), 14 (1%).
| School | Proj | Conf title | Tourney |
|---|---|---|---|
| Central Arkansas | 16.0–12.0 | 27% | 29% |
| UT Arlington | 15.8–13.2 | 21% | 23% |
| Austin Peay | 15.5–12.5 | 23% | 25% |
| Tarleton State | 13.4–14.6 | 12% | 13% |
| Abilene Christian | 13.4–14.6 | 11% | 13% |
| Little Rock | 12.5–17.5 |
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| 9% |
| West Georgia | 12.3–16.7 | 9% | — |
| Eastern Kentucky | 12.1–15.9 | 8% | 10% |
| North Alabama | 9.6–18.4 | 4% | 5% |