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NCAAB

VCU vs Memphis Prediction, Odds & Live Score

Sat, Nov 7, 2026, 3:00 PM ET

← Today's Edges
NCAAB•Sat, Nov 7 • 8:00 PM
VCU

VCU

VS
MEM

Memphis

Win Probability

Moneyline

VCU

-371

49.2% win prob

EV -18.8%

Polymarket

Moneyline

MEM

-332

50.8% win prob

EV -16.9%

Polymarket

Analysis

VCU travels to Memphis in a matchup the simulation leans slightly toward the home side to win. The game projects as a near-deadlock, turning on whether either team can generate consistent scoring; Memphis will need to control pace and limit VCU's efficiency to pull away. On games shaped like this one, AccuScore's favored side has won 57% of the time across nearly 6,700 graded contests. For VCU to upset the projection, the Rams would need to execute at a level that makes the narrow final score immaterial—turning this into a track meet rather than a grind. Just under half the simulations see the combined score climb over the market total, which means a defensive struggle remains very much in play.

Probability Explorer— drag to explore lines

Point SpreadVCU -0.5
30.51.25-28
VCU Cover
49.2%
no odds at this line
MEM Cover
50.8%
no odds at this line
Total (Over/Under)O/U 156.5
117.5160.75204
Over Cover
49.2%
no odds at this line
Under Cover
50.8%
no odds at this line

1st Half

AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.

Leads at the half

45.8%VCU
Tied 4.5%
MEM49.7%
1st Half SpreadMEM -0.5
200-20
VCU Cover
50.3%
no odds at this line
MEM Cover
49.7%
no odds at this line
1st Half Total (Over/Under)1H O/U 74
547494
Over Cover
47.7%
no odds at this line
Under Cover
48.5%
no odds at this line
Push 3.9% — stake returned if it lands exactly on the total

Player Props

MEM VCU
Sort:

Odds Comparison

Moneyline

BookMEMEVVCUEV
Polymarket ↗-332-16.9%-371-18.8%

Where to Bet

DraftKingsBet →FanDuelBet →BetMGMBet →KalshiBet →PolymarketBet →

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AccuScore's simulation makes Memphis 51% to beat VCU (49%).

Projection updated Nov 6, 3:50 PM ET

Who will win VCU vs Memphis?

AccuScore's simulation makes Memphis the more likely winner at 51%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.

Will Memphis beat VCU?

AccuScore's simulation gives Memphis a 51% chance of beating VCU, against 49% for VCU. Memphis are at home and favoured on these numbers.

Every VCU vs Memphis meeting →VCU predictions & record →Memphis predictions & record →

Season outlook

VCU (1-0 so far) project to finish 20.3–8.7 and make the NCAA Tournament in 45% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.

Memphis (1-0 so far) project to finish 17.6–13.4 and make the NCAA Tournament in 24% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.

TeamProjected recordConference titlePlayoffs
VCU20.3–8.721%45%
Memphis17.6–13.414%24%

From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →

Form, head-to-head and betting trends

How VCU and Memphis come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.

Recent form

VCUW
  • Nov 2vs Little RockW 82–72

VCU have won 1 of their last 1 (W, most recent first).

MemphisW
  • Nov 2at Iowa StateW 80–76

Memphis have won 1 of their last 1 (W, most recent first).

Head-to-head

The teams have met 2 times since 2012: VCU 1, Memphis 1. The last meeting, on Dec 5, 2023, finished Memphis 85, VCU 80.

  • Dec 5, 2023MEM 85 – 80 VCU
  • Nov 22, 2012MEM 65 – 78 VCU
Every VCU vs Memphis meeting →