College Basketball · American
AccuScore projects Memphis to finish 13.9–17.1 with a 13% chance of making the NCAA Tournament and a 0.1% chance of winning the national championship. Next: 13% to win away at Iowa State.
From the daily season simulation: every remaining game played out thousands of times, then the 76-team tournament. All 365 schools →
| Make the field | 12.9% | |
| Play in the First Round | 10.6% | |
| Reach the Second Round | 4.7% | |
| Reach the Sweet 16 | 2.0% | |
| Reach the Elite Eight | 0.8% | |
| Reach the Final Four | 0.4% | |
| Reach the Championship | 0.1% | |
| Win the national title | 0.1% |
Likeliest seed lines: 13 (1%), 14 (1%), 15 (1%), 12 (1%).
| Tip-off | Opponent | MEM win | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|
| at Iowa State | 13% | 🔒 Pro |
| School | Proj | Conf title | Tourney |
|---|---|---|---|
| South Florida | 21.6–10.4 | 29% | 47% |
| Tulsa | 19.7–10.3 | 20% | 37% |
| Wichita State | 18.7–11.3 | 18% | 34% |
| UAB | 16.4–14.6 | 9% | 18% |
| North Texas | 15.9–14.1 | 8% | 17% |
| Florida Atlantic | 14.7–14.3 | 8% |
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| 16% |
| Temple | 14.5–13.5 | 8% | 14% |
| Charlotte | 14.4–16.6 | 5% | 10% |
| Tulane | 14.3–16.7 | 4% | 7% |
| Memphis | 13.9–17.1 | 6% | 13% |
| Rice | 13.4–16.6 | 5% | 8% |
| East Carolina | 12.4–14.6 | 3% | 6% |
| UTSA | 10.2–19.8 | 1% | 2% |