NCAAB
Colgate
Drexel
Win Probability
Colgate travels to Drexel in a matchup the simulation leans toward the hosts. The projection hinges on pace and three-point shooting: if Colgate's offense can push tempo and sustain outside accuracy, the Raiders have the tools to steal this one on the road. In games where the model favored one side by this margin, that team won 57 percent of the time. Drexel's defensive pressure will be the deciding factor, as forcing Colgate into a slower half-court game plays directly to the Dragons' strengths at home.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
| Book | DREX | EV | COLG | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | -130 | +0.8% | +110 | -5.3% |
| FanDuel ↗ | -137 | -0.4% | +114 | -4.4% |
| Fanatics ↗ | -140 | -0.8% | +115 | -4.2% |
| BetRivers ↗ | -136 | -0.2% | +106 | -6.1% |
| betPARX ↗ | -136 | -0.2% | +106 | -6.1% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 146.5 | -110 | -1.9% | -110 | -2.7% |
| FanDuel ↗ | 144.5 | -110 | +2.7% | -110 | -7.2% |
| Caesars ↗ | 146.5 | -110 | -1.9% | -110 | -2.7% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | 146.5 | -110 | -1.9% | -110 | -2.7% |
| Fanatics ↗ | 145.5 | -110 | +0.3% | -110 | -4.8% |
Where to Bet
silverWin probability: 57.4%
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AccuScore's simulation makes Drexel 57% to beat Colgate (43%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Drexel the more likely winner at 57%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Drexel a 57% chance of beating Colgate, against 43% for Colgate. Drexel are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Colgate (0-1 so far) project to finish 15.0–15.0 and make the NCAA Tournament in 19% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Drexel (0-1 so far) project to finish 14.9–15.1 and make the NCAA Tournament in 6% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How Colgate and Drexel come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
The teams have met once since 2025: Colgate 1, Drexel 0. The last meeting, on Nov 10, 2025, finished Drexel 83, Colgate 90.