College Basketball · Patriot League
AccuScore projects Colgate to finish 13.7–16.3 with a 14% chance of making the NCAA Tournament and a 0.0% chance of winning the national championship.
From the daily season simulation: every remaining game played out thousands of times, then the 76-team tournament. All 365 schools →
| Make the field | 14.0% | |
| Play in the First Round | 9.9% | |
| Reach the Second Round | 3.2% | |
| Reach the Sweet 16 | 1.4% | |
| Reach the Elite Eight | 0.5% | |
| Reach the Final Four | 0.2% | |
| Reach the Championship | 0.1% | |
| Win the national title | 0.0% |
Likeliest seed lines: 16 (5%), 15 (3%), 14 (1%), 13 (1%).
| School | Proj | Conf title | Tourney |
|---|---|---|---|
| Navy | 19.4–10.6 | 32% | 33% |
| Boston University | 15.7–14.3 | 16% | 17% |
| American University | 15.5–15.5 | 16% | 17% |
| Colgate | 13.7–16.3 | 13% | 14% |
| Lehigh | 13.5–15.5 | 10% | 11% |
| Loyola Maryland | 12.9–15.1 | 10% |
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| 11% |
| Lafayette | 12.4–17.6 | 6% | 7% |
| Holy Cross | 12.2–17.8 | 6% | 7% |
| Army | 11.9–18.1 | 5% | 6% |
| Bucknell | 11.4–19.6 | 5% | 6% |