North Carolina Central
Longwood
Win Probability
North Carolina Central travels to face Longwood in a matchup where the simulation strongly favours the home side. AccuScore projects a Longwood victory built on a scoring advantage; the Eagles are favoured to top 80 points while holding NCCU below 69. In games where the model has leaned this heavily toward the home team, it has won 92% of the time across a comparable sample. For North Carolina Central to pull the upset, it would need to both exceed its projection significantly and force Longwood into an uncharacteristically poor offensive night, a combination the model rates as unlikely.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
| Book | LONG | EV | NCCU | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | -850 | -2.7% | +575 | +1.6% |
| FanDuel ↗ | -900 | -2.9% | +590 | +2.8% |
| Caesars ↗ | -900 | -2.9% | +600 | +3.5% |
| Fanatics ↗ | -850 | -2.7% | +575 | +1.6% |
| BetRivers ↗ | -835 | -2.6% | +500 | -4.1% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 148.5 | -105 | +0.6% | -115 | -4.9% |
| FanDuel ↗ | 147.5 | -115 | +0.8% | -105 | -5.4% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | 147.5 | -115 | +0.8% | -105 | -5.4% |
| Fanatics ↗ | 148 | -110 | +0.7% | -110 | -5.1% |
| BetRivers ↗ | 148.5 | -106 | +0.3% | -117 | -5.3% |
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NCAAB
AccuScore's simulation makes Longwood 85% to beat North Carolina Central (15%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Longwood the more likely winner at 85%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Longwood a 85% chance of beating North Carolina Central, against 15% for North Carolina Central. Longwood are at home and favoured on these numbers.
North Carolina Central (0-1 so far) project to finish 10.2–15.8 and make the NCAA Tournament in 13% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Longwood (0-1 so far) project to finish 15.8–13.2 and make the NCAA Tournament in 11% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| North Carolina Central | 10.2–15.8 | 15% | 13% |
| Longwood | 15.8–13.2 | 11% | 11% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How North Carolina Central and Longwood come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.