Butler
2-0
Boise State
1-0
Win Probability
Butler travels to Boise State in a matchup where the simulation leans slightly toward the hosts. Both teams arrive undefeated, with Butler at 2-0 and Boise State at 1-0, setting up a contest that figures as a near toss-up. The game hinges on perimeter shooting: Butler's three-point stroke will need to stay sharp against Boise State's interior presence. In games shaped this way, the favored side has won 57% of the time historically. For Butler to pull the upset on the road, the Broncos would need to cool significantly from beyond the arc.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
| Book | BOIS | EV | BTLR | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fanatics ↗ | -120 | +3.6% | +100 | -8.5% |
| Polymarket ↗ | -541 | -15.3% | -1736 | -28.1% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet ↗ | 153.5 | -105 | +4.5% | -115 | -8.7% |
| Fanatics ↗ | 153 | -110 | +4.5% | -110 | -8.9% |
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NCAAB
AccuScore's simulation makes Boise State 59% to beat Butler (42%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Boise State the more likely winner at 59%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Boise State a 59% chance of beating Butler, against 42% for Butler. Boise State are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Butler (2-0 so far) project to finish 16.9–15.1 and make the NCAA Tournament in 30% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Boise State project to finish 18.7–11.3 and make the NCAA Tournament in 38% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Butler | 16.9–15.1 | 3% | 30% |
| Boise State | 18.7–11.3 | 11% | 38% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How Butler and Boise State come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Butler have won 2 of their last 2 (W-W, most recent first).