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NCAAB

Howard vs Pennsylvania Prediction, Odds & Live Score

Mon, Nov 9, 2026, 6:30 PM ET

← Today's Edges
NCAAB•Mon, Nov 9 • 11:30 PM
HOW

Howard

1-1

VS
PENN

Pennsylvania

0-1

Win Probability

Moneyline

HOW

-125

31.3% win prob

EV -21.8%

Polymarket

Moneyline

PENN

-393

68.7% win prob

EV -6.9%

Polymarket

Analysis

Howard travels to Pennsylvania in a matchup where the simulation favors the host clearly. The Quakers project to win by a narrow margin despite the strong lean in their direction, a gap that hinges on whether Howard can keep pace in a game expected to stay close to the total. Pennsylvania's offense will need to execute consistently; Howard's defense must tighten around the perimeter to stay within striking distance. On games shaped like this one, AccuScore's favored side has won 68% of the time across 2,183 graded matchups. For Howard to pull the upset, the Terriers would need to force Pennsylvania into an off night while generating enough of their own scoring punch to overcome playing on the road.

Probability Explorer— drag to explore lines

Point SpreadPENN -6.5
23.5-6.25-36
HOW Cover
51.4%
no odds at this line
PENN Cover
48.6%
no odds at this line
Total (Over/Under)O/U 159
120.5163.75207
Over Cover
48.0%
no odds at this line
Under Cover
49.6%
no odds at this line
Push 2.4% — stake returned if it lands exactly on the total

1st Half

AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.

Leads at the half

32.4%HOW
Tied 4.8%
PENN62.8%
1st Half SpreadPENN -3.5
17-3-23
HOW Cover
50.5%
no odds at this line
PENN Cover
49.5%
no odds at this line
1st Half Total (Over/Under)1H O/U 75
557595
Over Cover
48.9%
no odds at this line
Under Cover
47.5%
no odds at this line
Push 3.6% — stake returned if it lands exactly on the total

Player Props

PENN HOW
Sort:

Odds Comparison

Moneyline

BookPENNEVHOWEV
Polymarket ↗-393-6.9%-125-21.8%

Where to Bet

DraftKingsBet →FanDuelBet →BetMGMBet →KalshiBet →PolymarketBet →

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AccuScore's simulation makes Pennsylvania 69% to beat Howard (31%).

Projection updated Nov 8, 10:51 PM ET

Who will win Howard vs Pennsylvania?

AccuScore's simulation makes Pennsylvania the more likely winner at 69%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.

Will Pennsylvania beat Howard?

AccuScore's simulation gives Pennsylvania a 69% chance of beating Howard, against 31% for Howard. Pennsylvania are at home and favoured on these numbers.

Every Howard vs Pennsylvania meeting →Howard predictions & record →Pennsylvania predictions & record →

Season outlook

Howard (1-1 so far) project to finish 18.5–9.5 and make the NCAA Tournament in 45% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.

Pennsylvania (0-1 so far) project to finish 13.9–12.1 and make the NCAA Tournament in 14% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.

TeamProjected recordConference titlePlayoffs
Howard18.5–9.558%45%
Pennsylvania13.9–12.115%14%

From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →

Form, head-to-head and betting trends

How Howard and Pennsylvania come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.

Recent form

HowardWL
  • Nov 5at Alcorn StateW 94–83
  • Nov 2at YaleL 62–72

Howard have won 1 of their last 2 (W-L, most recent first).

PennsylvaniaL
  • Nov 5at IllinoisL 70–112

Pennsylvania have won 0 of their last 1 (L, most recent first).